US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Sep. 2023) Extraordinarily limited supply in the existing homes market continued to drive buyers to new homes in September. The 12.4% m/m rise in new home sales in September took them to 759,000 annualised... 25th October 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Effectiveness of Mortgage Guarantee varies by region The proposed extension to the Mortgage Guarantee Scheme could prove a good counter-cyclical policy in areas where house prices are relatively low. But the scheme has far less impact in London and the... 25th October 2023 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Sep. 2023) Existing home sales fell to their lowest level since October 2010 in September as the increase in mortgage rates to a fresh 23-year high caused buyers and sellers to withdraw from the market. A... 19th October 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update What are house prices really doing? House prices are rising according to the Office for National Statistics but falling according to Halifax and Nationwide. Consistent downward revisions to the ONS House Price Index mean that we think... 19th October 2023 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Sep. 2023) Single-family starts edged higher in September to 963,000 annualised from 933,000 in August and building permits also rose to a 15-month high. However, we don’t think this means single-family... 18th October 2023 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Update Lower rates will allow sales to recover The surge in mortgage rates to a 23-year high has caused both buyers and sellers to withdraw from the market, and total home sales to drop to their lowest level since 2011. While we’ve revised down... 18th October 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Can Labour move the dial on housing supply? Labour has made housing a major theme of its conference, and the party’s attitude towards New Towns and social housing means that the next election could prove a turning point in the structure of the... 10th October 2023 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack Surging Treasury yields have pushed mortgage rates above 7.5%, higher than we had anticipated. If these borrowing rates persist, lending and sales volumes could fall even further in the near term... 10th October 2023 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Sep. 2023) Rising mortgage rates caused mortgage applications for home purchase to slip to a fresh 28-year low in September. With mortgage rates edging above 7.5% in the last week of the month as Treasury yields... 4th October 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Homeownership increasingly unattainable Buying a first home has become increasingly difficult over the past 30 years. A high income is still essential, but other circumstances such as whether the individual is buying as part of a joint... 2nd October 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Interest rate hold won’t provide immediate relief Despite ending the interest rate hiking cycle today, the Monetary Policy Committee succeeded in convincing financial markets that interest rates will remain high for some time. As market interest rate... 21st September 2023 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Aug.) The 0.7% m/m fall back in existing home sales in August reflects falling mortgage borrowing and took sales back close to the low levels recorded in January. Our view that mortgage rates will remain... 21st September 2023 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Aug.) Housing starts fell sharply across both the single-family and multifamily sectors in August, suggesting that construction has now reached a turning point. We expect this downward trend to continue for... 19th September 2023 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Apartment and single-family REIT divergence to persist The recent outperformance of single-family REITs versus apartment REITs appears to be down to differences in the capital value outlook for the sectors, rather than any major difference in rental... 15th September 2023 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update New home sales can’t defy gravity for much longer New home sales have brushed off a collapse in overall housing demand, rising 23% in the first half of 2023. More competitive pricing will be providing some support to sales, but the primary factor is... 12th September 2023 · 3 mins read
