UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Sep.) Net lending to commercial property was positive in September but, looking through the monthly volatility, there is a clear downward trend in lending. With the economy entering a recession and property... 31st October 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Sep.) CRE lending growth slowed significantly in September, with both multifamily and other commercial sectors seeing the smallest rise in outstanding debt for at least six months. We expect the rate of... 17th October 2022 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack House prices begin to fall A deterioration in the economic outlook and renewed rise in mortgage rates to a 16-year high in September means the housing market is set for a further slowdown. We estimate that mortgage payments as... 14th October 2022 · 10 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Credit Conditions Survey (Q3 2023) The Q3 credit conditions survey doesn’t capture the impact of the market turmoil of recent weeks, with the deadline for responses falling a week before the “mini-budget”. Nonetheless, it shows rising... 13th October 2022 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Sep.) The sixth consecutive month of falling home purchase activity in September was driven by a sharp rise in mortgage rates to 6.75% at the end of the month. With a significant easing in credit conditions... 5th October 2022 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Update Market uncertainty pushes up mortgage rates An upward revision to our 10-year Treasury yield forecast and a widening in spreads have led us to upgrade our mortgage rate forecasts. We now expect the 30-year fixed rate will stay close to 6.5% for... 4th October 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Update Arrears to rise, but banks will survive The scale of the increase in mortgage rates means that a large rise in mortgage arrears and repossessions is probably unavoidable. But substantial capital buffers mean lenders will be able to absorb... 4th October 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Aug.) The surprise jump in mortgage approvals in August probably reflected a rush to lock in mortgage offers as interest rates surged. There is a possibility that could be repeated next month, but... 30th September 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Aug.) Net lending to commercial property was negative for the second consecutive month as economic headwinds weighed on investor sentiment. With the cost-of-living crisis constraining rental growth and... 30th September 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lenders and Administrators Return (Q2 22) The detailed mortgage lending data for Q2 show solid lending volumes, growing leniency on deposit sizes and income multiples, and arrears at a record low. But the ongoing adjustment to higher interest... 14th September 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Aug.) CRE lending saw an even stronger rise in August than in July, with multifamily and other commercial sectors both seeing a large increase in outstanding debt. But there are signs that the rate of... 12th September 2022 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack House price growth expectations turn negative Stretched affordability continued to weigh on housing market activity in July and August, leaving mortgage applications for home purchase down by 40% from their high in January. A renewed rise in... 9th September 2022 · 12 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Aug.) Home purchase applications fell for a fifth consecutive month in August, leaving them down by 40% from their high in January. With mortgage rates once again rising and against a backdrop of stretched... 7th September 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Jul.) Net lending to the commercial property sector fell back in July, as mounting economic headwinds and stretched valuations weighed on investor sentiment. We expect lending will see further declines over... 30th August 2022 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Jul.) While mortgage approvals ticked up in July, that only reversed a fraction of their previous decline. And the drag on buyer demand from the ongoing increase in mortgage rates and surging energy bills... 30th August 2022 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update Foreclosure rate headed for a small bump With the vast majority of mortgage borrowers protected by fixed rates, it is not a surprise that the early delinquency rate has risen only marginally since the start of the year. And our forecasts for... 24th August 2022 · 3 mins read
