Europe Commercial Property Outlook Mild correction, but soaring inflation poses downside risks The economic backdrop has deteriorated, with the euro-zone set to enter recession this year, while inflation has continued to beat expectations. This will weigh on property demand across all sectors... 16th September 2022 · 33 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Price correction to prove relatively small this time around Higher interest rates mean that real estate looks significantly overpriced in all sectors. The latest activity and performance data suggest that a correction is underway, but as we now think the 10... 9th September 2022 · 25 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Boom in hybrid working to delay office demand impact Recent surveys suggest that our forecast that 50% of office employees will go into work every day is too high. But it also looks like the vast majority of those working from home will only do so part... 8th September 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response US Metro Employment (Jul.) Almost all metros saw further gains in total employment in July, with Dallas continuing to lead, and joined by Houston, Charlotte and Miami as the fastest growers. But office-based employment growth... 31st August 2022 · 3 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavia & Switzerland: The property cycle turns The Nordic and Swiss economies performed relatively well in Q2, while prime rents showed further rises in Scandinavian office and industrial markets. However, the economic outlook has darkened, which... 26th August 2022 · 5 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Emerging Europe: Yield rises start to weigh on values Higher interest rates and a weaker economic and property outlook contributed to a rise in all-property yields in Q2. While office and industrial rents still made solid gains, this increase in yields... 25th August 2022 · 5 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack Recoveries still lagging in the major coastal markets Q2 data showed a mixed picture across the three sectors. For offices, the northern coastal markets continue to lag, with rent growth turning positive but still weaker than most other markets. Houston... 24th August 2022 · 7 mins read
UK Commercial Property Outlook Cost-of-living crisis to weigh on property returns Surging inflation and the upcoming recession will cut real household disposable incomes, which are set to see their largest fall on record. That drop in spending power will hit demand for all property... 23rd August 2022 · 29 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack Property yields set to rise in H2 As the economy slowed in Q2 and interest rates rose, investors appear to have become less willing to compete property yields lower and investment volumes look close to turning. While occupier demand... 22nd August 2022 · 10 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Strong rental rises, but jump in yields weighs on values While quarterly rental rises surprised on the upside in Q2, property yields also rose sooner than expected. This meant all-property capital values barely grew on the quarter and slowed to around 5% y... 22nd August 2022 · 9 mins read
US Commercial Property Update The six major markets will not be the only losers Pandemic-accelerated migration patterns were already driving outperformance in the southern states. But they have also brought the poor performance of weaker markets to the fore. With those structural... 10th August 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response US Metro Employment (Jun.) There was little evidence of any slowdown in June’s job figures, but the deep divisions in performance at the metro level remained. Dallas and Austin stood out on a range of comparisons, while... 3rd August 2022 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Office conversions most likely in high land cost metros The contrast between the strong performance of the apartment sector and the weak performance of offices in the last two years has made office-to-residential conversions more viable, but the numbers... 22nd July 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Stronger signs that office sector distress will grow The large-scale deterioration in office NOIs that we predicted would occur by the end of 2025 appears, on the face of it, to be some way off. But offices are the only sector seeing rising delinquency... 15th July 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Office Metro Outlook In light of the deterioration in the economic environment, our office metro forecasts have been downgraded across the board. Those downgrades are driven by a substantial shift in our yield view, which... 1st July 2022 · 14 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response US Metro Employment (May) Employment growth slowed last month, but remained above its historic averages. The big gainer in May was Dallas, which recorded the strongest 3m/3m growth in both total and office-based employment... 29th June 2022 · 2 mins read