Europe Commercial Property Update Oversupply will keep CEE logistics in a rut in 2025 The non-euro-zone central European logistics markets have been Europe’s worst performing in 2024 as prime rents have fallen across the region. 2025 will herald more of the same, as oversupply keeps... 19th December 2024 · 6 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Dec. 24) The fiscal loosening announced in October’s Budget means inflation and gilt yields are now set to be higher than previously expected over the next few years. That will limit yield compression, and the... 19th December 2024 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Trump tariffs would drag on port-centric industrial hubs The incoming Trump administration is threatening to put new tariffs on European exports. In our view, given their limited macroeconomic impact, they will not be a game-changer for commercial property... 18th December 2024 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Total returns to turn positive in 2025, but offices still weigh The backdrop to our new real estate forecasts is a small reduction in our GDP forecasts and higher level of interest rates than previously. This weighs on the outlook, and we have trimmed our total... 12th December 2024 · 20 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Rental growth the key driver of the property recovery The recovery in property values is underway. But we think it will be a weak one, even though several European central banks, including the ECB, are forecast to cut interest rates to a lower level than... 12th December 2024 · 27 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack US Commercial Property Chart Pack (Q4 24) All-property values are down 18% from their mid-2022 peaks. And with appraisal-based cap rates still set to tick higher, we expect further small falls in values. That should take the peak-to-trough... 25th November 2024 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Outlook Budget measures to weaken property recovery The fiscal loosening announced in October’s Budget means inflation and gilt yields are now set to be higher than previously expected over the next few years. And with the spread of gilt yields over... 22nd November 2024 · 26 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Q3 RICS survey suggests market has bottomed The Q3 RICS commercial property survey suggests a recovery is on its way with improvements in both the occupier and investment market headline balances and the majority of respondents believing the... 31st October 2024 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Q3 RICS: Weak occupier demand a risk to recovery The latest RICS survey showed that investor sentiment continued to improve in Europe in Q3, adding to the growing evidence that the market has bottomed. However, declines in reported occupier demand... 31st October 2024 · 4 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dutch logistics will continue to outperform Dutch prime logistics rent growth is set to be among the highest in the region over the next few years. That reflects both strong prospects for leasing, thanks to a bright economic outlook and greater... 17th October 2024 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Consumer spending outlook bodes well for industrial rents Industrial’s shift toward logistics means consumer-focused economic variables have become important drivers of rental growth. Admittedly, employment growth is set to slow. But a combination of... 15th October 2024 · 3 mins read
Global Commercial Property Chart Pack Global Commercial Property Chartpack (Q3 2024) All-property values have stabilised in the UK but we expect further falls elsewhere, especially in the US. Combined with a weaker office outlook, the US is set to underperform over the next couple of... 2nd October 2024 · 0 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update German logistics to go from leader to laggard Tight supply conditions have boosted German prime logistics rents despite weak occupier demand. This looks set to continue over the next year or two given completions pipelines for the German markets... 26th September 2024 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Innovation clusters to drive flex R&D performance The flex industrial subsector outperformed most other property types over the last cycle. Its underlying characteristics mean demand and returns will continue to be healthy ahead, though the winning... 25th September 2024 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Industrial to outperform as muted recovery gets underway After two disappointing years, commercial property values have stabilised. However, the recovery is set to be weak. We think yield falls in the coming years will be small compared to previous... 23rd September 2024 · 28 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack UK Commercial Property Chart Pack (Sep. 24) Yields have now peaked in most sectors and capital values are close to bottoming out. However, with not much prospect for yield compression the recovery will be weak by past standards. Thanks to... 19th September 2024 · 1 min read