Australia & New Zealand Economics Update Australia Housing Watch Although house prices in Melbourne have started to fall anew, we doubt that they are the canary in the coal mine. A persistent shortfall in housing supply should ensure that house prices across most... 21st December 2023 · 4 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack UK Housing Market Chart Pack (Dec. 2023) Large downward shifts in interest rate expectations mean that mortgage rates will continue to fall for the next month or two. That will support some recovery in activity and means that price declines... 18th December 2023 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Household debt service ratio will continue to rise Household net worth fell in the third quarter, although the recent resurgence in bond and equity prices means that should soon be reversed. It is too soon to sound the all-clear for households’... 15th December 2023 · 7 mins read
Canada Economics Update Housing Watch (Dec.) November was a weak month all round for housing, with prices falling at a faster pace and starts plunging. Lenders are already cutting mortgage rates in response to the recent drop in bond yields... 15th December 2023 · 4 mins read
US Housing Market Chart Pack US Housing Market Chart Pack Recent falls in Treasury yields have bought mortgage rates back down from a peak of 8% in October to 7% earlier than we had anticipated, setting the scene for a recovery in housing market activity in... 14th December 2023 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update RICS Residential Market Survey (Nov. 23) Declining mortgage rates have already generated a significant improvement in demand, with the new buyer enquiries and sales expectations balances recording their strongest readings for over a year and... 14th December 2023 · 3 mins read
Canada Economic Outlook Further falls in GDP to trigger interest rate cuts Further declines in GDP in the coming quarters mean that the economy is unlikely to grow at all next year. Weak growth and a return in inflation to the 2% target will leave scope for the Bank of... 7th December 2023 · 14 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response Halifax House Prices (Nov. 2023) The second consecutive monthly rise in the Halifax house price index in November mirrored the increase in the Nationwide index, confirming that house prices have not only stabilised, but are rising... 7th December 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response Nationwide House Prices (Nov. 23) The further small increase in the Nationwide house price index in November was unexpected and came on the heels of an even larger rise in October. It means house prices are on track to fall by just 2%... 1st December 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly RBA has succeeded in stamping out housing rebound House price growth has been slowing in recent months and CoreLogic's daily data suggest that prices are now falling again in Melbourne and Sydney. A renewed downturn in the housing market suggests... 1st December 2023 · 6 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response Australia CoreLogic House Prices (Nov.) House price growth kept slowing in Australia in November and, with affordability the most stretched since the early 1990s, that slowdown has further to run. 30th November 2023 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Sep. 2023) Another large monthly gain in house prices in September suggests that the extremely limited supply of existing homes for sale continued to outstrip the drag on demand from high mortgage rates. This... 28th November 2023 · 3 mins read
Event UK Housing Drop-In: Is the worst behind the UK housing market? 1701423000 Chief Property Economist Andrew Burrell and Andrew Wishart, who leads our UK housing coverage, held a client briefing shortly after the release of t
US Housing Market Outlook Falling mortgage rates won't spark major recovery Housing market activity is likely to recover from here, driven by falling mortgage rates. That said, they are set to remain high relative to recent history. Our view is that mortgage rates won’t drop... 21st November 2023 · 15 mins read
UK Housing Market Outlook Prices to bottom out, but activity will remain soft Surprisingly resilient demand, high inflation, and limited supply mean a severe drop in house prices will be avoided. With the peak in mortgage rates now behind us and the labour market in good shape... 21st November 2023 · 17 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack (Nov. 2023) Our Australia and New Zealand Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. We believe that central banks in both Australia and New Zealand are done... 17th November 2023 · 1 min read