Commodities Chart Pack Commodities Chart Pack (Nov. 2024) OPEC+ and China, not Trump, will drive prices in 2025 Trump’s election victory won’t have a big impact on commodity markets in the short term. US oil and gas production is near record highs and prices... 7th November 2024 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Trump trade comes for gold; palladium surges Having behaved “normally” over the summer, gold prices have slipped back into anti-traditional-driver mode in recent weeks, seemingly caught up in a wider “Trump trade”. One can – and plenty surely... 25th October 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Outlook Soft demand + extra supply ⇒ lower prices We expect most commodity prices to fall next year and our forecasts are generally below consensus. The biggest upside risk to our energy price forecasts stems from the potential for an escalation in... 24th September 2024 · 24 mins read
Commodities Weekly Silver to stay in gold’s shadow, China trade takeaways For all the attention on gold this year, silver has been the better performer with prices increasing by over 25% year-to-date. While silver has benefitted from the expansion in China's solar industry... 13th September 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update Is gold priced for perfection? With a long and varied list of supportive drivers to choose from, we have raised our end-2025 gold price forecast to $2,750 per oz. But even though we now forecast gold prices to end next year about... 10th September 2024 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Normal gold service resumes; OPEC+’s conundrum While the stonking rally in gold prices earlier this year was at odds with traditional market drivers, the latest leg up in gold prices – which saw the nominal price reach yet another fresh record... 30th August 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Focus China’s gold rush has much further to run Against the backdrop of central bank buying, strong physical gold demand, and a surge in ETF holdings, China appears to have been a key driver of the rally in gold prices earlier this year. Looking... 29th August 2024 · 16 mins read
Commodities Weekly Lack of ceasefire deal poses risks; gold at record The apparent stall in the ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas limited the fall in oil prices this week. While we think a deal wouldn’t be a game-changer for oil prices, a further breakdown in... 23rd August 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly EU natural gas prices chart their own course It was no surprise to see the global commodity price index fall and rise alongside the contortions in equity markets this week. But commodity prices have not all been in the same boat; whereas some... 9th August 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Commodities Chart Pack (Aug. 2024) Commodities have not been immune to the recent turmoil in financial markets, with the prices of most industrial metals, agricultural, and energy commodities extending their downward trends over the... 7th August 2024 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Oil prices rise on Middle East conflict, cut down by US The oil market's fairly muted reaction to events in the Middle East this week only temporarily reversed the recent downward trend in oil prices. On the face of it, however, the risk of a spike in oil... 2nd August 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update Olympic medals to lose their shine before long The start of the Paris Olympic Games today suggests that there will be renewed interest in gold, silver and bronze. We suspect that athletes will be disappointed by the fact that the Olympic medals... 25th July 2024 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Gold jewellery to lose its lustre under high prices Gold jewellery demand has been highly sensitive to price changes in the past and so will come under pressure from the current backdrop of record high gold prices. Income growth in key markets will... 17th July 2024 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Traditional gold price drivers come back into focus The ~18% rise in gold prices seen this year has largely defied the traditional logic of demand drivers. Indeed, the surge in gold prices between February and April took place against a backdrop of a... 12th July 2024 · 4 mins read
Commodities Outlook Commodity prices to fall back We forecast most commodities prices to fall next year – despite falling interest rates and faster global GDP growth – as numerous supply constraints ease and a crunch in Chinese construction begins to... 27th June 2024 · 21 mins read
Event Drop-In: Commodities Outlook – Where next for energy, gold and industrial metals prices? 1719909000 Will China’s economy continue supporting metals demand? What would Donald Trump’s re-election mean for energy markets?
