UK mortgage approvals hit 18-month high in March, says Bank of England Ashley Webb, economist at research company Capital Economics, said the central bank’s data provided “further evidence that the drag from high interest rates is starting to fade and supports our view... 30th April 2024 · Financial Times
Canada Rapid Response Canada GDP (Feb. 2024) Despite the weaker-than-expected rise in GDP in February, first-quarter growth still looks to be close to 2.5% annualised. The weaker flash estimate for March points to less momentum going into the... 30th April 2024 · 2 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Apr. 24) China’s economy grew at a healthy pace in the first quarter of 2024. Our China Activity Proxy suggests this was on the back of strong external demand. While fiscal support should continue to keep the... 30th April 2024 · 0 mins read
Latin America Rapid Response Mexico GDP (Q1 Provisional) The slightly faster-than-expected 0.2% q/q expansion in Mexico’s economy in Q1, alongside strong underlying price pressures and the delay to rate cuts in the US, mean that Banxico is all but certain... 30th April 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone GDP (Q1) and Flash HICP (April) Today’s stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP data means the euro-zone has come out of recession but, with core and services inflation both declining in April, this will not prevent the ECB from starting its... 30th April 2024 · 2 mins read
Asia Rapid Response Taiwan GDP (Q1 2024, adv) Taiwan’s economy accelerated in y/y terms last quarter and we expect growth to remain strong over the coming year, helped by robust demand for AI-related products. 30th April 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone National-level GDP (Q1 2024) The national-level data released so far this morning suggest that euro-zone GDP, which will be published in just under an hour, will show an expansion of 0.3% q/q in Q1. 30th April 2024 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Hungary & Czechia GDP (Q1) The slightly better-than-expected Q1 GDP figures out of Hungary and Czechia suggest that economic recoveries had a little more momentum at the start of this year than we previously thought and that... 30th April 2024 · 2 mins read
RBA Watch RBA to hike in May, no rate cuts until 2025 We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to hike rates by 25bp at its meeting next week, in contrast to the consensus view that the Bank will remain on hold. Given the RBA’s ostensible resolve to... 30th April 2024 · 8 mins read
China Rapid Response China PMIs (Apr. 2024) While the Caixin services PMI edged down last month, it dropped by less than its official counterpart, and the survey data for April is still consistent with some improvement in momentum since the... 30th April 2024 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Retail Sales (Mar. 2024) The weakness in retail sales last month suggests that sales volumes fell across Q1 as a whole. However, with households’ real incomes staging a recovery, consumer spending should pick up over the... 30th April 2024 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Update Panama’s next president to face growing fiscal challenge José Raúl Mulino, the front-runner in Panama’s presidential election scheduled for Sunday, has pledged to reinvigorate growth. But as we’ve been arguing for some time, the economy’s time as Latin... 29th April 2024 · 3 mins read
Global Economics Focus Why is productivity so weak outside the US? Productivity growth in most advanced economies has been much weaker than that in the US since the pandemic. This partly reflects the relative weakness of demand, coupled with a degree of labour... 29th April 2024 · 17 mins read
Europe Rapid Response EC Survey & Germany State CPI (April 2024) The weaker-than-expected EC business and consumer survey for Ap ril is a reminder that the euro-zone economy is still weak. Meanwhile, the survey and inflation figures for Germany and Spain confirm... 29th April 2024 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Economic Sentiment Indicators (Apr.) The European Commission's Economic Sentiment Indicators for Central and Eastern Europe were a mixed bag in April, but our regional GDP-weighted measure of sentiment rose to a fresh two-year high... 29th April 2024 · 2 mins read
