Event Global Drop-In: Long Run Outlook – The global economic order post-Trump 11th March 2025, 3:00PM GMT Imagine a world after Donald Trump. The returned president’s rapidly unfolding policy agenda will have bearing on the US and global economies in the near-term. But could forces like shifting...
US Chart Pack US Chart Pack (Feb. 2025) The economy continues to do well with GDP growing strongly and employment growth solid. We are concerned, however, that the Trump administration’s policies will weigh on GDP growth over the course of... 18th February 2025 · 1 min read
India Economics Update India’s digital economy going from strength to strength Five years on from start of the pandemic, one of the big economic legacies in India is the adoption of digital payments, driven by mobile apps and the Unified Payments Interface. This increased... 18th February 2025 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Update Colombia: another year of soft growth lies in store Colombia’s economy strengthened at the end of last year, with GDP expanding at its fastest pace in more than two years. But the combination of tight fiscal and monetary policy, alongside lower oil... 18th February 2025 · 2 mins read
Europe Economics Update Key questions on Europe’s defence spending European governments are poised to further scale up their plans for defence spending in the coming years which should benefit the equity prices of European defence companies, but the boost to GDP is... 17th February 2025 · 5 mins read
Latin America Chart Pack Latin America Chart Pack (Feb. 2025) Our Latin America Economics Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Some major Latin American economies are among the most exposed to the steel and... 17th February 2025 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Israel GDP (Q4) The slowdown in Israeli GDP growth, to 2.5% q/q annualised, in Q4 suggests the drag on activity from rising tensions with Hezbollah last quarter was a bit larger than we expected. The recent... 17th February 2025 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Update Why are Japan’s households not partying like its 1989? While household incomes are rising the most since the early 1990s, households are saving rather than spending the bulk of those gains. And with real income growth set to slow this year, we expect... 17th February 2025 · 3 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Europe Weekly: Trump keeps Europe on its toes All eyes were on Washington this week as President Trump rung the bells for the next phase of a trade war with the EU and sidestepped European leaders with a possible Ukraine peace deal. While... 14th February 2025 · 7 mins read
US Rapid Response Industrial Production (Jan. 2025) The rise in industrial production in January is not as good as it looks as it was driven by a weather-related surge in utilities and a further post-strike recovery in aerospace & parts output. 14th February 2025 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly UK Weekly: Trump’s tariffs tirade becomes more troubling for the UK We still believe that tariffs are unlikely to reduce UK GDP by as much as some fear and that the UK is much less exposed than a lot of other economies. But the growing possibility of the UK facing... 14th February 2025 · 11 mins read
Canada Rapid Response Canada Manufacturing Sales (Dec. 2024) The sharp decline in manufacturing sales volumes in December suggests that the earlier recovery in the sector has hit a wall. New orders rose only modestly, by 1.3%, confounding hopes that the sector... 14th February 2025 · 1 min read
US Rapid Response US Retail Sales (Jan. 2025) The large fall in control group retail sales in January, together with the timelier data showing a slump in vehicle sales, suggests that real consumption fell last month. While weather effects were... 14th February 2025 · 2 mins read
China Economics Weekly More support for developers, while marriages plunge The decline in the number of marriages in China that was revealed this week isn’t just due to there being fewer eligible people. The rate at which young adults are marrying has halved over the past... 14th February 2025 · 5 mins read