Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks fell sharply this week as imports fell to a two-year low and refinery activity increased. Meanwhile, product demand continued to expand. As higher interest rates translate into... 29th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Chart Pack Is the door closing for fiscal loosening in the Gulf? One of the main channels through which the Gulf countries are exposed to worries about the health of the global banking system in through energy markets, with the price of Brent crude falling by 13%... 24th March 2023 · 11 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose slightly this week, although product stocks fell as domestic demand and exports both picked up. But all eyes are on the Fed’s monetary policy meeting later today. 22nd March 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Update Commodities and the spillovers from financial markets While commodity prices have also been caught up in the chaos stemming from the banking sector turmoil, so far the impact hasn’t been too alarming as price falls for most commodities haven’t been... 17th March 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update First thoughts on banking stress and commodity prices Commodity prices have tumbled as concern about a banking crisis has grown. The downside risks to our forecasts, which we recently attributed to higher interest rates, now include banking sector stress... 16th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose this week, but product stocks fell. That said, the bigger picture remains one of subdued domestic demand, which we expect to remain the case for some time yet. 15th March 2023 · 2 mins read
OPEC Watch OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (Mar.) OPEC’s monthly report for March noted that the group has stuck to the production targets agreed in October last year. Accordingly, we have revised down our forecasts for the group’s output in 2023. 14th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update The implications of restored Saudi-Iran ties The restoration of diplomatic ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran adds to signs that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are easing, which may help to reduce risk premia in financial assets in the... 13th March 2023 · 6 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly OPEC+, Egypt policymaking, Tunisia-World Bank Tensions within OPEC+ over oil policy appear to be escalating amid rumours that the UAE is, once again, thinking about leaving the group. Ultimately, we think the Gulf states will ramp up oil output... 9th March 2023 · 8 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks fell for the first time in nine weeks last week, while implied product demand dropped. We think oil demand will remain soft as higher interest rates drag on economic growth. 8th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Energy Update JODI Energy Demand Monitor (Nov. & Dec.) JODI data on global oil and natural gas consumption show that global energy demand was weak in late 2022. China’s rapid reopening will likely boost demand for both. But plenty of downside risk remains... 8th March 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update China’s oil imports to pick up from here China’s imports were weak in January-February, but commodity imports fared better. What’s more, we think crude oil imports, in particular, will pick up from here given the resurgence in travel demand. 7th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose only slightly this week but this was despite a jump in US crude exports to a new record. With US domestic fuel demand unlikely to surge anytime soon, crude exports should... 1st March 2023 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Commodity markets still in flux one year into the war It has been a tumultuous year since the outbreak of war in Ukraine. Energy markets are still in a state of flux, though they have calmed significantly. (The prices of European gas and Brent crude have... 24th February 2023 · 6 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Chart Pack Gulf slowdown underway After a stellar performance for most of 2022, the Gulf economies are slowing. Primarily, that has reflected the impact of oil production cuts agreed with the rest of OPEC+ which is weighing on growth... 23rd February 2023 · 14 mins read
Energy Update We are sceptical of Nigeria’s oil production promises We don’t think that the election in Nigeria on Saturday will lead to a sudden improvement in crude oil production. The oil industry’s challenges in the country are too deep-seated. But the long... 22nd February 2023 · 3 mins read
