Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly OPEC+ cuts, Egypt and the dollar, education reform OPEC+ is set to continue with its existing oil output quotas next week, although this means that oil sectors will act as a drag on the Gulf economies over the early part of 2023. Elsewhere, Egypt is... 26th January 2023 · 9 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Even though the recovery in refinery activity stalled last week, petroleum product stocks rose amid weakening demand, which we expect to persist for a bit longer as the US economy slows further. 25th January 2023 · 2 mins read
Commodities Weekly Spotlight shifts to developed economies The end of China’s zero-COVID policy continued to support most commodity prices this week, with many industrial metals prices extending their recent rallies. Economic activity appears to be recovering... 20th January 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks unexpectedly increased this week. Weak refining activity and stable production helped stocks build. We expect that slower US economic activity over the next six months will... 19th January 2023 · 3 mins read
OPEC Watch OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (Jan.) OPEC left its annual supply and demand forecasts broadly unchanged but tweaked the quarterly profile. Like us, the group expects demand to rise faster than supply, which is a key reason why we expect... 17th January 2023 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Higher price forecasts due to China reopening China’s rapid reopening and the likelihood of policy stimulus there has improved the macro-economic backdrop for commodities in 2023. But with developed economies in recession, and a somewhat stronger... 16th January 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly China reopening to boost commodity prices The dismantling of China’s zero-COVID policy has come quicker than we and many had expected. Whereas we previously thought the first quarter would bring the worst of the economic disruption from... 13th January 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Update China commodity imports set to rebound this year Commodity imports generally rose in December, but fell in 2022 as a whole. In a possible sign of optimism around reopening, soybean imports skyrocketed. China’s unexpectedly swift switch to living... 13th January 2023 · 2 mins read
Global Economics Update Upgrade to 2023 China forecast and its implications Disruption from China’s reopening is fading faster than we had expected and we have revised up our forecast for growth there from 2.0% to 5.5%. This means that global GDP growth will be stronger than... 12th January 2023 · 3 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks surged last week at the fastest pace since February 2021, as net imports rose and disruption to refineries lingered from the recent cold weather disruption. Going forward, a... 11th January 2023 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly New year, same trends Most commodity prices declined this week, with energy prices falling especially sharply. Unseasonably mild weather in Europe and the US weighed on heating demand, prompting a plunge in gas prices. The... 6th January 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose last week due to refinery closures in the wake of the extremely cold weather. But this should be short-lived, with most refinery plants back online soon. 5th January 2023 · 3 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose last week owing to a rebound in net imports, which was largely the result of the reopening of the Keystone pipeline. More interesting was the jump in implied product... 29th December 2022 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update Rise in risk appetite for industrial metals is premature Unusually, investors have been reducing their net-long position in the oil futures market, but increasing their position in industrial metals. We suspect this reflects optimism about China reopening... 22nd December 2022 · 2 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report This week’s report showed a sizeable drop in commercial crude stocks as net imports fell sharply. With US production unlikely to rise by much and plans for strategic reserves to be refilled next year... 21st December 2022 · 3 mins read
Event The World in 2023 - What to Expect in Financial and Commodity Markets 1673424000 Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing held this special 20-minute online briefing with Chief Markets Economist John Higgins and Chief Commodities Economist Caroline Bain on the outlook for financial