Asia Economic Outlook Asia's slowdown to bottom soon (Q4 10) The post-recession rebound in most of Latin America is showing signs of slowing but growth is likely to remain fairly strong over the coming quarters. We still expect the region to expand by around 4... 1st December 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Better balanced growth on the way in Thailand Today’s Q3 GDP data for Thailand were weak but growth is just adjusting to what is normal and can be sustained. What’s more, most of the slowdown has probably now come through. We expect the economy... 22nd November 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Thailand's upswing to pause but unlikely to stall Q3 GDP data are released in Thailand on Monday and will probably show that the economy contracted in q/q terms. However, this should be viewed as just part of the inevitable adjustment to an expansion... 22nd November 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand's economic upswing still in good shape Thailand data published late last week and earlier today show that activity continues to expand at a brisk pace while inflation remains low. The GDP expansion should stay on track in 2011 and the... 1st November 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand's monetary tightening still has further to go The Bank of Thailand (BoT) held its policy rate at 1.75% today but maintained a tightening bias. Domestic demand looks well placed to drive GDP growth, while the strong recovery should increasingly... 20th October 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Bank of Thailand will still probably tighten The Bank of Thailand (BoT) announces its policy rate decision on Wednesday. The repo rate has been hiked at the past two meetings, and we expect another 25bp increase to 2.0%. The surge in the baht... 18th October 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Domestic demand leading Thailand's growth Today’s batch of August data highlight the continued slowdown in manufacturing, which is heavily focused on exports production. The easing in this area is not over but domestic demand is well-placed... 30th September 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economic Outlook Asia is re-balancing and will continue to lead (Q3 10) The global upswing is now regaining some traction and the threat of renewed financial crisis has diminished. However, the world recovery will stay weak and vulnerable to other risks such as deflation... 23rd September 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Slow start to Q3 but Thailand's outlook is still upbeat Bank of Thailand (BoT) monthly indicators for July are consistent with industrial activity and export growth in the second half of the year being weaker than in the first. But this should be no... 31st August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update More Bank of Thailand tightening on the way The Bank of Thailand (BoT) raised its policy rate by 25bp to 1.75% today, as expected. The economy has shrugged off the political crisis and domestic demand should improve even as exports slow. The... 25th August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand's economy shrugs off the political crisis Thailand’s GDP growth came in stronger than our above-consensus forecast in Q2. Export growth will slow from now on but a slump is unlikely while domestic demand is set to stay strong. It is now... 23rd August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Bank of Thailand set to tighten further Thailand’s Q2 GDP data are released on Monday and the figures should confirm that the hit to the economy from the April-May troubles in Bangkok was not severe. We have always expected that this would... 23rd August 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand's economy ended Q2 on a high Bank of Thailand (BoT) monthly indicators for June have confirmed that the economy has bounced back strongly, which is what we always expected would be the case. Exports and manufacturing should... 30th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand plays catch-up The Bank of Thailand (BoT) raised its policy rate by 25bp to 1.5% today, as expected. The social unrest has inflicted little damage on the economy while inflation is set to rise. Today’s move is not a... 14th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Thailand set to hike policy rates The Bank of Thailand (BoT) meets this week and we, like the market, expect that they will move the policy rate up by 25bp to 1.5%. The social unrest in April-May appears to have inflicted little long... 12th July 2010 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand to start monetary tightening in Q3 Bank of Thailand (BoT) monthly indicators for May suggest that the hit to the economy from the violence in Bangkok has not been too severe, which is what we expected would be the case. Exports and... 1st July 2010 · 1 min read
