Asia Economics Weekly India’s Reserve Bank changes tack The new governor of the Reserve Bank of India has attempted a deft trick at his first policy meeting: hiking the most closely-watched policy rate to signal his inflation fighting intentions while... 20th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Five years after Lehmans: how has Asia changed? It is five years since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Asia has been able to grow rapidly in the years since, but with monetary policy both at home and abroad likely to be less supportive in the... 13th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Falling current account surpluses are not to be feared Current account deficits in India and Indonesia have rightly caused some concern, but elsewhere in Asia the trend towards smaller current account surpluses should be welcomed. 9th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Central bank in Malaysia to hike rates next year Malaysia’s central bank (BNM) kept its policy rate unchanged at 3.0% at its meeting today. We expect the BNM to keep rates on hold for the rest of the year before hiking by 25bp as it looks to reduce... 5th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Currency weakness will not lead to inflation spike in Asia The recent sell-off in Asian currencies has sparked fears that the region is about to suffer a sharp spike in inflation. We think this is unlikely. While exchange rate depreciation can push up the... 3rd September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update August PMIs show Asian manufacturing sectors still struggling The August PMIs for Emerging Asia show that, outside of China, the region’s manufacturers are continuing to struggle, with the headline numbers now below 50 across the region. 2nd September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Is India’s economy heading the way of its currency? Today’s GDP figures underline that India’s economy was already fragile before the recent rout of the rupee. Given the ongoing turmoil, economic conditions look likely to get worse before they get any... 2nd September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Rupee and rupiah take a hit, signs of resilience elsewhere Asia has borne the brunt of the EM currency sell-off this month with the Indian rupee and Indonesian rupiah the worst performers in the emerging world. The currencies of Thailand and the Philippines... 29th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly It’s not all doom and gloom for Asia Recent headlines have been dominated by a sharp shift in sentiment against EM assets. Asian economies have been hit harder than most in the sell-off. However, away from the financial markets, there... 26th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Emerging Asia Markets Monitor (Aug.) Asian currencies and equity markets have been hit hard by the recent sell-off inemerging market assets with India and Indonesia the worst affected in the region.Bond yields have risen, but remain low... 21st August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Malaysia’s 2013 growth to disappoint The Bank of Thailand kept its policy rate at 2.50% today. We continue to expect the central bank to keep rates low for the rest of 2013 before gradually tightening in 2014 as growth prospects improve. 21st August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s industrial outperformance to continue Asia’s manufacturers have had a hard time since the global financial crisis, and are currentlystruggling through yet another weak patch. However, they have actually done much betterthan their peers in... 19th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s consumers seeing mixed fortunes For all the hype about the rise of the Asian consumer, the recent performance of consumer spending in Asia has been disappointing. The weakness is largely explained by subdued spending in the region’s... 5th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update July PMIs point to continued manufacturing weakness The July PMIs for Emerging Asia point to weakening conditions in the region’s manufacturing sectors. Both output and new orders were especially disappointing. We maintain our view that fragile global... 1st August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Bottoming out? Growth in Emerging Asia, which has slowed sharply since the start of the year, may have bottomed out. According to our GDP Tracker, which uses monthly data for output and expenditure, regional GDP... 24th July 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia’s export weakness to continue Exports from Emerging Asia remain lacklustre and continue to hold back the region’s growth. As this Weekly explains, a strong and sustained export recovery is unlikely anytime soon. 22nd July 2013 · 1 min read