Asia Economics Update Coalition politics still likely to hinder Indian reform Markets have rallied in India on the back of the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party’s strong showing in state elections, which puts it in a strong position ahead of the general election in a few months... 9th December 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Inflation rising, but scope for policy to remain loose Inflation in Emerging Asia has picked up in the past few months, albeit to a rate that is still low by historic standards. While the inflation outlook is not quite as benign as it has been for the... 9th December 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Elections in the "Fragile Five": threat or an opportunity? Each of the five countries that were the worst hit by the summer currency sell-off (the so-called “Fragile Five”) are due to hold important elections next year. In the short term, uncertainty ahead of... 4th December 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India’s current account vulnerability falls, but risks remain Measures to curb demand for imported gold have contributed to a sharp narrowing of India’s current account deficit. This should make the rupee less vulnerable to shifts in global investor sentiment. 4th December 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indian growth bottoming out, bumpy recovery ahead Indian GDP growth appears to be bottoming out. Growth accelerated in the third quarter of 2013 from the more than four-year low of the previous quarter. Looking ahead, we believe that the economy's... 2nd December 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Growth in Asia has picked up, but risks lie ahead GDP data for the third quarter showed a small improvement in regional growth, led by stronger export performance. Looking ahead, we expect the region to pick up pace gradually over the next couple of... 2nd December 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Vulnerable economies failing to put their fiscal houses in order Government finances are not a serious concern in most Asian countries. However, some of the governments that most need to rein in their deficits to help their economies withstand future bouts of... 27th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian markets see renewed volatility Continued uncertainty over when the US Federal Reserve will start to taper its asset purchases under QE3 has led to renewed volatility across Asian financial markets over the past month. Currencies... 26th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Uncertainty over Fed tapering weighs on currencies After a period of relative calm in October, many Asian currencies have again come under pressure in the past couple of weeks. The sell-off follows renewed speculation that the Fed might start to taper... 20th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Malaysia set to maintain faster growth rate Malaysia's economy gained pace in the third quarter, driven by faster private consumption growth and a recovery in exports. Although households may soon start to feel the strain of high debt levels... 18th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India pinning too-high hopes on boost from monsoon On the back of the strongest monsoon in six years, policymakers in India appear confident that a bumper crop will translate into stronger growth and help tame inflation. While the monsoon will help at... 15th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly When India sneezes... India is by a long way the largest economy in South Asia. It is eight times the size of Pakistan and more than 30 times the size of Sri Lanka. India’s current weakness might therefore be expected to... 8th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India cuts effective policy rate, but also has an eye on inflation India’s central bank has used the scope allowed by continued exchange rate stability to further roll back liquidity tightening measures that were introduced in the summer. However, an increase in the... 29th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian markets see small rises Following a rollercoaster couple of months, which saw big falls in financial markets in August, followed by a strong rebound in September, equity markets have recorded small gains this month... 28th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Weak domestic demand to hold back growth in Korea Today’s GDP data show that Korea recorded another quarter of solid growth in Q3, thanks mainly to strong domestic demand. Looking ahead, low interest rates and a pickup in exports should provide a... 28th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Growth remains weak despite signs of global recovery Growth in Emerging Asia has continued to slow, despite signs of recoveryelsewhere in the global economy. Our GDP Tracker, which uses monthly dataon output and expenditure, suggests regional output is... 22nd October 2013 · 1 min read
