Europe Data Response German & French Industrial Production (Sep.) September’s disappointing rebound in German industrial production increased the risks that both the German and euro-zone economies contracted in Q3 and added to the pressure on the ECB and German... 7th November 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Fiscal Monitor (Oct.) All peripheral economies narrowed their budget deficits in September but France and Italy submitted draft budgets that flouted EU fiscal rules. 3rd November 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Oct.) October’s EC Business and Consumer Survey suggests that the euro-zone economy got off to a weak start in Q4, after broadly stagnating in Q3. 30th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update French fiscal slippage could promote more pragmatic policy The French Government’s submission today of a budget that flouts the European Commission’s fiscal rules will be a key test of EU authorities’ resolve. We expect a compromise to be reached that forces... 15th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Stalled recovery adds to pressure on policymakers The European economic recovery has weakened, with the euro-zone now at risk of recession and countries outside the region feeling the effects on their exports. While the euro-zone’s peripheral... 13th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Vote of confidence to offer limited hope for France The French Government looks set to win a vote of confidence tomorrow, allowing it to pursue long-overdue business friendly reforms. But it could take many years for the reforms to bear fruit and... 15th September 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update French political turmoil adds to near-term economic risks The latest anti-austerity backlash from within the French Government, together with supportive comments from the ECB, offer hope that the euro-zone’s fiscal straightjacket could be loosened in future... 26th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Stalled recovery intensifies pressure on the ECB The euro-zone’s economic recovery came to a complete halt in the second quarter at what shouldhave been a very early stage. There were some temporary factors at play which suggest thatgrowth should... 18th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q2 Prov.) The stagnation of the euro-zone economy in the second quarter further underlinedthe need for the European Central Bank (ECB) to take bolder policy action to addressthe continued weakness of the... 14th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response French Industrial Production & German Trade (Jun.) Despite an improvement in June, French industrial data suggest that industry probablydragged on overall euro-zone growth in Q2. Meanwhile, Germany’s latest trade dataindicate that the external sector... 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Paris’ occupier demand outperformance last? Parisian office take-up grew by 55%y/y in the second quarter, but fell in three of the top four German cities, including a 45%y/y fall in Frankfurt. Nevertheless, the underlying weakness of the French... 7th August 2014 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Franco-German divergence spells trouble ahead Although purchasing managers surveys for July, released earlier today, suggest that the economicrecovery in the euro-zone as a whole is regaining momentum, they also still show a large gap betweenthe... 24th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Subsidence in the French construction sector Construction is set to remain one of the worst performing parts of the French economy. The sector’sproblems are symptomatic of the challenges facing the broader economy. 18th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus France to fall further behind Germany The recent underperformance of the French economy compared to Germany reflects fundamentalfactors that will drive an even greater wedge between the two economies over time. Thisdivergence will... 17th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response French & Italian Industrial Production (May) The sharp falls in Italian and French industrial production in May were another sign that the sector’s recovery is already flagging before it has even really begun. 10th July 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will France’s large shopping centre pipeline put pressure on rents? France’s large shopping centre pipeline is consistent with the below average level of existing stock. Although it is unlikely to result in a supply overhang, given the weak retail demand fundamentals... 9th July 2014 · 1 min read
