Europe Commercial Property Update Falls in Spanish rental values are not just a temporary phase Dublin aside, prime commercial property rental values have fallen further in Barcelona and Madrid than in any other major euro-zone city. That seems consistent with the dramatic rise in Spanish... 28th April 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Mounting job losses increase the pain in Spain The Spanish unemployment rate rose at breakneck speed in Q1, suggesting that household spending is set to continue to plunge this year. Accordingly, we still think that the consensus forecast of a 2.9... 24th April 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spanish consumer slump shows no sign of ending February’s dreadful Spanish retail sales figures have dashed any hopes that the recent sharp falls in inflation and mortgage payments would lead household spending to stabilise at the start of the... 31st March 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Economic downturn hits the Spanish public finances The latest news on the Spanish public finances shows that the hard economic landing is certainly taking its toll on the Government’s coffers. What’s more, it looks increasingly likely that a... 24th February 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Falling house prices add to the gloom in Spain The latest news from Spain shows that the housing market downturn is gaining momentum as the economy enters recession. Further sharp falls over the coming quarters are inevitable and we expect house... 15th January 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Latest Spanish fiscal package won't save the day The latest Spanish fiscal package shows that the Government is willing to pull out all the stops to prevent a steep economic contraction. But with the effects on the economy of the housing market... 27th November 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spanish housing market downturn gathers pace The latest Spanish house price data provide further evidence that the housing market is set for a hard landing. We expect house price falls of around one third over the next few years to push the... 15th October 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spanish house prices to fall by 25% The recent run of terrible economic news from Spain and the sharp falls in house prices in a number of other developed economies have led us to revise down our forecast for Spanish house prices. We... 13th August 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Falling house prices pile further pressure on Spain The latest housing market data from Spain revealed that house prices have begun to fall. Over the coming quarters, we expect the slowdown to pick up pace, causing a further downturn in the... 15th July 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Industrial sector adding to Spain’s woes Spanish football may be flying high at the moment, but Spain’s industrial activity indicators have recently divebombed, adding to the economy’s mounting woes. 1st July 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update From bad to worse for Spanish consumers The recent run of bad news from Spain suggests that consumers’ wallets will remain firmly closed this year. While the Government’s fiscal package may provide households with a temporary boost in the... 3rd June 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus How vulnerable are Spanish banks to a property crash? The Spanish banking system looks in relatively good health compared to those of some other eurozone economies. Nonetheless, a major adjustment in the domestic property sector could still cause banks... 27th May 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Spain’s fiscal boost won’t offset the housing market downturn The latest news on the Spanish housing market supports our view that it is only a matter of time before house prices fall sharply with significant adverse effects on the wider economy. 18th April 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Slump in Spanish business surveys raises risk of recession The sharp fall in the latest indicators of Spanish business activity provides further evidence that the economic slowdown has spread well beyond the housing-related sectors. We maintain our view that... 3rd April 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Zapatero's victory won't change the outlook for Spain Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero’s victory in Sunday’s general election paves the way for the implementation of a new fiscal package aimed at reviving Spain’s ailing economy. But on its own, this will not... 10th March 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Industrial slump adds to Spain's pre-election woes Evidence of a major slump in Spain’s industrial sector has further worsened the outlook for the economy ahead of this weekend’s general election. We remain concerned that, whatever the outcome of the... 3rd March 2008 · 1 min read