Emerging Europe Chart Pack

Inflation rates start to diverge (Apr 07)

Inflation trends across the region are diverging. In Poland, the Czech Republic and the Baltics, strong growth is starting to hit capacity constraints, causing price pressures to build. Inflation has...

4th May 2007 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Growth outlook looks good; Hungary is the exception (Q1 2007)

The growth outlook across Emerging Europe remains positive. The region should grow by around 6% this year, slower than the 6.5% expansion achieved last year. Strong credit growth and FDI inflows will...

29th March 2007 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economics Focus

Hungary: the sick man of Central Europe?

GDP growth in Hungary will slump to 2% this year and 2.5% in 2008 as a result of the government’s latest attempt to shore up the public finances. But once fiscal consolidation is complete, we think...

15th March 2007 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economics Focus

How dependent is Russia on high energy prices?

While the energy sector made an important contribution to real GDP growth in the early part of this decade, in recent years its direct contribution has fallen, despite rapid price increases. This is...

19th February 2007 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Strong growth outlook conceals policy risks (Q3 2006)

The growth outlook for Emerging Europe generally remains strong, with demand driven by high levels of investment and the continued rapid expansion of household credit. With GDP growth in the euro-zone...

20th December 2006 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Markets become less tolerant of bad policy (Q2 2006)

The recent sell-off across global equity markets naturally extended into the emerging European markets, but the impact has varied widely. Countries with strong fiscal positions and stable governments...

12th July 2006 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Growth outlook remains strong, but EMU targets slip (Q1 2006)

The growth outlook remains good, and will benefit in 2006 from the economic recovery in neighbouring Germany, lower oil prices and buoyant business/consumer confidence across the region. Convergence...

16th February 2006 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Growth remains robust, despite political wobbles (Q3 2005)

Growth across Central and Eastern Europe has been solid in 2005, and the outlook remains positive, especially with euro-zone growth set to improve next year. However, heightened fears of inflation...

1st November 2005 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Outlook remains positive despite political shocks (Q2 2005)

The integration of the new EU member states remains on track despite political shock waves from the rejection of the EU constitution. Opposition to Turkish entry into the EU has hardened, but...

25th August 2005 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Bond yields near convergence, but political risks remain (Q1 2005)

The first round of new ERM entrants (Estonia, Lithuania, Slovenia) is on track for EMU entry in January 2007, followed by Latvia in 2008. These are very strong candidates for EMU, and their bond...

12th May 2005 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

EU accession negotiations will be no panacea for Turkey (Q3 2004)

18th October 2004 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Positive politics, but Turkey’s economic outlook is poor (Q2 2004)

The EU is now almost certain to set a date for the start of Turkish accession negotiations after its summit in December 2004, but the outlook for the Turkish lira and bond yields is still negative...

2nd June 2004 · 1 min read

Emerging Europe Economic Outlook

Hungary will postpone its drive to join the euro (Q1 2004)

Economic growth should pick-up across Eastern Europe in 2004 as export demand rises and inflows of FDI remain strong. Of the four larger economies joining the EU in May this year – the Czech Republic...

16th February 2004 · 1 min read