Emerging Europe Economics Focus Will recession in Eastern Europe bring down banks in the West Swedish and Austrian banks look most exposed to the impending recession in parts of Emerging Europe. But lending to the region still accounts for a relatively small share of total bank assets in both... 13th November 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus ‘Super Deficit’ countries in recession in 2009 Huge current account deficits across Emerging Europe mean that Hungary and Ukraine are unlikely to be the only countries in the region to call on the IMF for emergency funding. As a period of painful... 29th October 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Feeling the pinch (Oct 08) Financial markets in the region have been rocked by the recent sharp downturn in global risk appetite. Equities have plunged by up to 50% in the past month, while spreads on CDS have ballooned... 22nd October 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Rate cuts won’t keep pace with ECB (Oct 08) Recent developments in the global economy and financial markets mean that growth fears will start to overtake lingering inflation concerns amongst policymakers in the region. But diminished investor... 15th October 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Will falling oil prices halt Russia's boom? We now expect real GDP growth in Russia to slow to 5% next year. But contrary to popular belief, this will not be driven by a fall in oil prices, which we now expect to fall to around $70pb over the... 10th October 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Clouds gather over the growth outlook (Q3 2008) The outlook for Emerging Europe has deteriorated in recent months. Weaker growth in the euro-zone will hit manufacturers, while consumers are facing twin headwinds of higher inflation and tighter... 29th September 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Currency markets take centre stage (Sep 08) On the whole, inflation pressures are easing across the region. But the ability of policymakers to cut interest rates in response will be governed by developments in the currency markets. We see scope... 22nd September 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Russian & Ukrainian markets hit by political risk (Sep 08) While the conflict in South Ossetia is likely to have little direct impact on the Russian economy, financial markets have been hit hard by a rise in political risk. The currency has dropped by 3%... 8th September 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Growth clouds start to gather Emerging Europe looks set to expand at its slowest pace since the 2001-02 Turkish financial crisis next year, as the downturn in the euro-zone gathers pace and the external financing environment... 5th September 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Will the BRICs win the inflation battle? We expect inflation of 4% or below in China next year, but mounting core pressures mean that Russia is likely to suffer double-digit inflation for the rest of this decade. But the policy response may... 20th August 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Will the BRICs win the inflation battle? We expect inflation of 4% or below in China next year, but mounting core pressures mean that Russia is likely to suffer double-digit inflation for the rest of this decade. But the policy response may... 20th August 2008 · 1 min read
Global Economics Focus Will the BRICs win the inflation battle? We expect inflation of 4% or below in China next year, but mounting core pressures mean that Russia is likely to suffer double-digit inflation for the rest of this decade. But the policy response may... 20th August 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Tightening cycle drawing to a close (Aug 08) Interest rates are nearing their peaks across Emerging Europe. Indeed, policymakers in the Czech Republic actually cut interest rates by 25bps earlier this month and seem intent on reducing borrowing... 19th August 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Growth outlook starts to weaken (Aug 08) The outlook for Emerging Europe has deteriorated in recent months. A combination of weaker growth in the euro-zone and stronger currencies has hit manufacturers, while consumers are facing the twin... 7th August 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Have record oil prices hit Russian manufacturing? Economic theory suggests that a booming energy sector can often cause a slump in manufacturing output. In Russia’s case, the evidence from recent years is mixed. But even if oil prices do continue to... 29th July 2008 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Further hikes to come in Turkey (Jul 08) All the focus over the coming months will be on Turkey, where we expect policymakers to follow up a likely rate hike this week with further monetary tightening. Elsewhere in the region, while... 15th July 2008 · 1 min read
