Europe Commercial Property Update Do Emerging European property markets offer good value? Some valuation measures indicate that Emerging European commercial property markets now offer good value. However, the deepening fiscal crisis in the euro-zone has led to a marked drop in risk... 25th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Q1 GDP data a mixed bag (May 10) First quarter GDP data, released by most countries over the past month or so, paint a mixed picture. The highly open economies of Central Europe – notably Slovakia – continue to rebound at a fairly... 25th May 2010 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack 2010 off to a better start than 2009 (May 10) Although investment activity generally softened, the bigger picture was that the health of investment markets across non-euro-zone Europe continued to improve in Q1 2010. Indeed, yields fell in almost... 20th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russian industry surges but from a low base The surge in Russian industrial production growth in April is not quite as good as it appears at first sight since it is flattered by base effects stemming from the collapse in activity last year. In... 19th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Politics comes into play in Hungary (May 10) Concerns that the new government in Hungary will jeopardise the independence of the National Bank appear to be coming to fruition. While much remains uncertain, it seems clear that PM Orban will now... 18th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russia: low debt levels mask mounting fiscal risks Russia’s public finances are a picture of health compared to those economies in the euro-zone’s periphery. But if oil prices drop further, as we expect, spending may have to be cut in real terms for... 18th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Has the outlook for Hungarian commercial property improved? While recent news on the Hungarian economy has been surprisingly positive, we are not yet convinced that a sustainable economic recovery is underway. Among other things, Hungary’s fragile banking... 18th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Q1 GDP data paint a mixed picture Q1 GDP data released this morning from across Emerging Europe paint a mixed picture. While the economies in Central Europe all grew on a quarterly basis, those in Southern Europe contracted once again... 12th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Estonia given green light to join EMU Today’s announcement that Estonia will join the euro-zone owes much to the huge fiscal tightening enacted last year. But EMU-entry will not be a panacea for the economy, and we expect GDP to contract... 12th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Turkish fiscal rule offers hope, but onus still on policymakers Today’s announcement of a seemingly well-designed and sensible fiscal rule in Turkey is an encouraging sign that the government is trying to get to grips with the public finances. But while a rules... 11th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Turkey: on course for a strong bounce-back March’s industrial production data from Turkey round off an impressive start of the year for the economy. In light of other positive data releases over recent weeks, we have raised our GDP forecast to... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Tough year lies ahead for Bulgaria Despite the recent jump in Bulgaria’s budget deficit, the fiscal risks are comparatively modest. Nonetheless, the economy still faces a tough time ahead, and we expect it to contract again this year. 7th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Czech interest rates to stay at record lows into 2011 Today’s surprise interest rate cut in the Czech Republic reflects the ongoing lack of underlying inflation pressures in the economy, and lends further support to our view that rates are likely to... 6th May 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Where now for Romanian interest rates? While the National Bank of Romania appears to be reaching the end of its current easing cycle, with the economic recovery still facing significant headwinds, rate hikes remain a distant proposition. 5th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rebound in Moscow office take-up looks unsustainable The rise in take-up in the Moscow office market in Q1 2010 may be less encouraging than it first seems. Indeed, given the large volume of completions, the improvement in demand was only enough to... 5th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Growing divergence across Emerging European property markets The upbeat message on Poland from yesterday’s Q1 2010 RICS global survey broadly fits with our view that Polish property will be among the best performers in Europe this year. But we are less... 30th April 2010 · 1 min read
