Europe Commercial Property Update Will Warsaw industrial rents continue to lag behind? The recent underperformance of industrial rental values in Warsaw relative to rest of Emerging Europe appears to stem from the fact that consolidation rather than expansion has been a key driver of... 8th June 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Banks edging back to health, but beware of the hidden risks The past few months have brought further signs that, after a torrid couple of years, the region’s banking sector is starting to find its feet. But credit growth is likely to remain subdued across most... 6th June 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update PMI data confirm slowing regional growth Today’s PMI data for the Czech Republic, Poland, Russia and Turkey provide further evidence of a slowing recovery in Emerging Europe. Much of the buoyancy of manufacturing output has been driven by... 1st June 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Poland gets off to a solid start of the year Q1 GDP data from Poland show that the economy got off to a solid start in 2011. The twin budget and current surpluses are an ongoing concern. But the country is set to retain its position at the front... 31st May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Few surprises in Q1 GDP; growth to slow in second half The raft of Q1 GDP data released earlier this month confirmed that the region’s economies are still expanding, but that the pace of growth remains disappointing, particularly given the depth of the... 26th May 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus How good is the long-run outlook for Turkish property returns? Strong economic growth in Turkey over the next 10 to 15 years should support an above average decline in commercial property yields, as well as reasonably strong rental value growth. Our central view... 26th May 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Has the decline in Moscow all-property yields run its course? On a two or three year view, we would not be surprised to see Moscow all-property yields drop by a further 50-100bps. But over the rest of this year, uncertainty over the outcome of next year’s... 25th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Inflation to slow in 2012, Turkey the exception The spike in inflation that has dominated the headlines in recent months should be short-lived. In most countries, rising inflation has been driven by higher food and energy inflation, which in turn... 25th May 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Istanbul be next to join the office rent recovery? Unlike in Warsaw and Moscow, office rents in Prague, Budapest, Bucharest or Istanbul have not risen over the past year. But the latest macroeconomic and occupier market data signal that Istanbul will... 20th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Inflation fears to fade by the end of the year Inflation is causing serious headaches for policymakers across Emerging Europe. With the exception of the Czech Republic, headline CPI ticked up everywhere last month, and is now well above target in... 20th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update No quick fix to Hungary's FX debt problem Media reports suggest that the Hungarian government is close to unveiling a draft plan aimed at dealing once and for all with the legacy of the FX-debt boom that brought the country’s banking sector... 19th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Next move in Hungarian interest rates should be down Today’s decision by the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) to keep interest rates on hold at 6.00% for the fourth consecutive meeting underlines how inflation fears have slipped down policymakers’ list of... 16th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Russia: where's the oil price boost? The fact that Russian growth slowed in Q1 despite the surge in oil prices suggests that all is not well in Emerging Europe’s largest economy. Growth should accelerate over the second half of the year... 16th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Few surprises as industrial output drives Q1 growth The flurry of Q1 GDP data released today suggests that the recovery in Emerging Europe is progressing, although the pace of growth is a touch disappointing given the recent strong expansion in key... 13th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Surprise Polish rate hike does not alter the bigger picture The National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) surprise decision to raise interest rates by 25bps to 4.25% today does not change the bigger picture that the pace of tightening currently priced into the forward... 11th May 2011 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Industrial production growth set to slow further Today’s industrial production data (for Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Romania, Slovakia and Turkey) were weaker than expected, and reflect our concern that the export-led recovery may be starting to... 9th May 2011 · 1 min read
