Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI & German Unemployment (Sep.) September’s rise in euro-zone CPI inflation probably reflected energy and food effects, while underlying price pressures remain very weak. 30th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Sep.) & Consumer Confidence (Oct.) September’s rise in German HICP inflation appears to have reflected temporary energy and food effects. Core inflation remains extremely subdued and we still see the headline rate coming close to zero... 28th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update How reliable is the German ZEW survey? September’s slump in German ZEW investor sentiment was a worrying sign that the recovery is already faltering. Admittedly, it is a less reliable indicator of German GDP than business surveys like the... 15th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Sep.), EZ Ind. Prod'n (Jul.) & Labour Costs (Q2) The drop in German ZEW economic sentiment in September and July’s stagnation in euro-zone industrial production confirm that the euro-zone recovery is slowing again after Q2’s strong expansion. 14th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production & Trade & Spanish Ind. Prod. (Jul.) The latest German industrial and trade data add to evidence that the recoveries in these sectors are beginning to lose momentum. Nonetheless, Germany looks set to remain the euro-zone’s main engine of... 8th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Time to be more positive on German retail property? Recent economic data suggest that the export-led recovery in Germany is spreading to domestic demand. However, there are reasons to remain cautious and our view remains that the scope for the German... 1st September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German CPI (1st Est. Aug.) August’s fall in German HICP inflation confirmed the absence of price pressures in the euro-zone’s largest economy. Indeed, we still see the headline rate there falling to near zero next year. 27th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Aug.) August’s rise in the German Ifo is good news after falls in some of the other surveys lately. But the slight decline in expectations highlights concerns for the future. 25th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German GDP (Q2) The breakdown of Q2’s German GDP data looks very encouraging, with the 2.2% quarterly surge in activity driven by both exports and domestic spending. But we doubt that the strength of either is... 24th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Aug.) August’s drop in the German ZEW index will dent any hopes that the strength of the recovery in Q2 could continue. Although the economy should post a strong annual gain of 3% or more this year as a... 17th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Rise in German imports is not as good as it seems The recent surge in German imports has brought hope that the recovery there is starting to benefit the rest of the world. But Germany is still running a very large trade surplus and the persistent... 10th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production (Jun.) & Italian GDP (Q2) German industrial production data and GDP estimates from Italy and Spain confirm that the euro-zone recovery gained pace in Q2, with Germany far in the lead despite June’s small fall in production. 6th August 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German CPI (1st Est. Jul.) July’s increase in German HICP inflation, from 0.8% to 1.2%, was probably driven by a temporary rise in the energy and food components. With core inflation still very subdued and likely to remain so... 28th July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Jul.) & French Consumer Spending (Jun.) July’s rise in the German Ifo index suggests that the economy is performing very well despite signs of a slowdown in the US and elsewhere. But June’s fall in French consumer spending confirmed that... 23rd July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Germany to the rescue? Germany’s export-led recovery appears to be going from strength to strength. But while this is clearly good news, a domestic revival would be required to ensure a strong and sustained pick-up in the... 22nd July 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Jul.) July’s fall in German investor sentiment highlights concerns that peripheral debt worries and banking sector problems might stem the recovery in the euro-zone’s largest economy before long. 13th July 2010 · 1 min read
