Europe Data Response German ZEW (Dec.), Euro-zone Industrial Production (Oct.) The rise in German ZEW economic sentiment in December and October’s increase in euro-zone industrial production confirm that the euro-zone recovery has not yet run out of steam. 14th December 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German funds: liquidations point to downside risks for property prices For now, the recent poor health of some German open-ended property funds is unlikely to have a meaningful impact on European property investment demand. But the potential for more fund liquidations... 8th December 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production & Trade (Oct.) Germany’s impressive industrial recovery continues to support growth in its own economy and in the euro-zone as a whole. But the favourable effects on the region’s peripheral economies are likely to... 8th December 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly German growth amid peripheral peril Ireland’s bailout and four-year fiscal plan have failed to reduce concerns about the euro-zone’s periphery. In fact, they are spreading again, most worryingly to Spain. While the risk of such a large... 29th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Nov.) November’s rise in German HICP inflation reflected a temporary boost from the energy and food components. The rate remains low, at 1.6%, and looks set to fall again in the coming months as these... 26th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Nov.) November’s German Ifo survey suggests that, while the euro-zone’s periphery remains mired in economic gloom, strong German growth is continuing to support the recovery in the region as a whole for now... 24th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Nov.) & EZ Final CPI (Oct.) November’s rise in German ZEW investor sentiment suggests that the euro-zone’s core has remained encouragingly resilient to the periphery’s troubles for now. But we still see German growth slowing... 16th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Can exports to Asia sustain the German recovery? With the resilience of German export growth partly reflecting persistently strong demand from Emerging Asia, some have argued that Germany might continue to grow rapidly as demand elsewhere in the... 9th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production & Trade (Sep.) September’s German industrial and trade data bode pretty well for the third quarter. But given slowing global demand and the euro’s strength, a sharper slowdown in industrial and external activity... 8th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German capital values are likely to rise in the near term One of the most striking aspects of Q3’s RICS global property survey was the marked improvement in surveyors’ expectations for German capital values. We find it hard to take issue with the new, more... 3rd November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Oct.) October’s German CPI data confirmed that, even in the euro-zone’s best-performing economy, price pressures remain very subdued. 27th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Still battling to achieve fiscal stability Last week was characterised by fairly downbeat news on economic activity and ongoing struggles to achieve fiscal goals. Although the German business surveys remained positive, October’s fall in the... 25th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Oct.) October’s rise in the German Ifo survey suggests that the economy is defying the global gloom for now. But while the economy should grow by 3% or more this year, we still see weaker exports prompting... 22nd October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Why even Germany needs ECB support Some reporters have put recent hawkish remarks by Axel Weber, the Bundesbank’s ECB representative, down to the relative strength of the German economy. But even there, the economic outlook warrants... 21st October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Oct.) October’s drop in German ZEW investor sentiment highlighted understandable concerns that the euro-zone’s growth engine might soon stall. 19th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production & French Trade (Aug.) The latest German industrial and French trade data suggest that, despite ongoing fears about the region’s periphery, the immediate risk of a “double dip” recession in the euro-zone as a whole is small... 7th October 2010 · 1 min read