Europe Data Response French Industrial Production & German Trade (Jan.) January’s rise in French industrial production supports the message from German data that the sector had a good start to the year. But German exports fell in January, suggesting that softer global... 10th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production (Jan.) January’s surprisingly strong gain in German industrial production is unlikely to signal the start of a lasting recovery and hence should not discourage the ECB from further bold policy loosening on... 8th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German, French & Spanish Flash CPI (Feb.) German CPI data revealed that inflation fell back below zero in February and, alongside weak readings for French and Spanish inflation, suggested that the eurozone has re-entered deflation. 26th February 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Feb.) & GDP Breakdown (Q4) February’s sharper-than-expected decline in the German Ifo Business Climate Indicator (BCI) added to the evidence that growth there is slowing and further justified additional ECB policy support. 23rd February 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Office rents in Frankfurt will underperform in 2016 Frankfurt’s office sector has struggled to shake off the legacy of the credit crunch and structural changes in the local labour market. Add in the likely dampening impact of the recent falls in equity... 12th February 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production & Trade (Dec.) December’s shockingly weak industrial production figures suggest the German economy barely grew in Q4 and pile further pressure on the ECB to match its dovish words with decisive action at its March... 9th February 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Jan.) January’s German CPI data revealed a slight rise in inflation following weather-related weakness in December. But while the rate is set to rise further in the months ahead, underlying inflation... 28th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update How exposed is Germany to a hard landing in China? Even a very sharp slowdown in China would not be enough on its own to push Germany into recession. But if, contrary to our forecasts, a slowdown in China prompted a more generalised slowdown in global... 27th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Berlin becomes Germany’s biggest investment market Berlin became Germany’s largest investment market in 2015, with investment growth of 120%, far outpacing that in the other major cities. Despite Berlin ranking far above Frankfurt in surveys of... 25th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Jan.) January’s German Ifo survey brought the strongest signals yet that the recent global economic concerns and associated financial market gyrations have started to hit the euro-zone’s biggest economy. 25th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW (Jan.) January’s German ZEW survey confirmed that recent turbulence in global financial markets and the soft tone of the domestic hard data have dented investor sentiment. 19th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & French Industrial Production (Nov.) November’s disappointingly weak German and French industrial production figures provided further evidence that the hard data on the euro-zone economy is failing to live up to the more optimistic... 8th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI & Euro-zone Final Man. PMI (Dec.) December’s German CPI data confirm that the relative strength of the economy is exerting no upward pressure on inflation and support our view that the ECB will need to do more to hit its inflation... 4th January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Faster German wage growth is nothing to fear The recent pick-up in German wage growth is encouraging and we think that fears of a sharp rise in inflation and loss of competitiveness are unwarranted. Our one misgiving is that the ECB might... 23rd December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What do the latest office jobs data say about rental prospects in 2016? The latest employment data show that office employment is far outpacing total jobs growth in most euro-zone economies. And, even in economies such as Germany and France, where office jobs growth has... 23rd December 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update German industrial occupier demand set to moderate in 2016 After a record-breaking year in 2015, the latest data suggest that German industrial occupier demand will moderate next year. But, given supply constraints and occupier bases that are more aligned to... 17th December 2015 · 1 min read
