Europe Data Response German Ifo (Oct.) October’s rise in German Ifo business sentiment to a new record high underscores the positive outlook for the euro-zone’s largest economy, supporting our above-consensus view on German GDP growth. 25th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Oct.) October’s rise in German ZEW investor sentiment suggests that neither the stronger euro nor ECB QE tapering are expected to have significant adverse implications for the German economy. 17th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response French & Italian Ind. Prod. & German Trade (Aug.) The unexpected softness of French industrial production in August suggests that industry weighed on France’s GDP growth in the third quarter and contrasted with the robust Italian data. Meanwhile... 10th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production August’s surge in German industrial production was in line with the positive message from business surveys and puts the economy on course for a strong Q3. 9th October 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & Spanish Flash CPI (Sep.) September’s flash inflation data for Germany and Spain suggest that euro-zone inflation was probably unchanged from August’s 1.5%. And the likely falls in core inflation in both Germany and Spain... 28th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Should we be more optimistic on German retail? Already upbeat German consumers are likely to benefit from tax cuts ahead. But with prime rental growth seemingly held back by structural factors, total returns are likely to be poor over the 2018-21... 27th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo (Sep.) September’s fall in German Ifo business sentiment still leaves it pointing to very strong GDP growth. While Germany looks set for lengthy coalition negotiations following yesterdays’ federal election... 25th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update German election: near-term gain, long-term pain? The German election looks set to yield a coalition of Angela Merkel’s CDU/CSU, the FDP and the Green Party. This will mean slightly lower taxes than under the alternative of another grand coalition... 25th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update German investment set for strong growth Despite little prospect of a pick-up in public investment in Germany following Sunday’s federal election, conditions are ripe for sharp rises in both general business investment and construction... 20th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Sep.) September’s larger-than-expected rise in German investor sentiment may partly reflect reduced fears about the strength of the euro and suggests that the economy will continue to perform well. Indeed... 19th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Trade, French & Spanish Industrial Production (Jul.) July’s data on German trade, as well as French and Spanish industrial production, provide some early hints that euro-zone GDP growth might slow a touch in Q3. But the continued strength of activity... 8th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Industrial Production & French Trade (Jul.) July’s weak German industrial production and French trade data add to signs that euro-zone GDP growth will slow in Q3. But we expect the slowdown to be modest, so while the ECB is unlikely to announce... 7th September 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German & Spanish Flash CPI (Aug.) August’s increases in German and Spanish HICP inflation point to an increase in eurozone inflation to about 1.5%. But the relatively subdued rates of core inflation in both economies support the ECB’s... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo (Aug.) & GDP Breakdown (Q2) Despite August’s small fall, German Ifo business sentiment remains buoyant and points to strong growth ahead. 25th August 2017 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update We forecast a rebound in the German DAX We think that the prospects for German large-cap equities during the remainder of 2017 are quite bright, despite their pull-back over the past two months. Admittedly, we are revising down our end-year... 22nd August 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Aug.) August’s fall in German investor sentiment probably reflects the euro’s continued rise and recent falls in equity prices. But we do not think that it is a sign of an economic slowdown to come. 22nd August 2017 · 1 min read
