Emerging Europe Economics Update Assessing the contagion risks from Greece Financial markets across the region have been hit by the latest developments in Greece, but contagion risks are greatest in Bulgaria, Romania and Hungary. 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Greece still dangling from a precipice With considerable uncertainties over when the joint IMF/euro-zone rescue package for Greece will be implemented, Greece is still dangling from a precipice. If Europe is to pull Greece back up it will... 27th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Greece on a knife edge Greece is in the midst of another hellish week and now faces no choice but to seek to formally activate the European rescue package. While this may help to ease the markets’ frazzled nerves, the... 22nd April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Show us the money! Despite the firmer details provided on the Greek rescue package, markets have made it crystal clear that they have deep reservations about the bailout. Before even considering lending on more... 19th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Could a banking crisis add to Greek woes? Greek bond yields have continued to surge as doubts remain over whether the euro-zone will actually be able to provide financial support to Greece. But a growing worry is that the ongoing crisis... 15th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update The broader implications of the Greek bail-out Opinions on the broader implications of the Greek rescue package for the future of the euro-zone not surprisingly differ widely. But the conditions that made the bail-out necessary will have a... 14th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Modest industrial recovery on track Last week’s further blow-out in Greek bond yields suggests that any slim chances that Greece had of muddling through its crisis on its own have all but evaporated. Some form of rescue - or at least a... 12th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Greek and Portuguese rental forecasts downgraded We have cut our forecasts for rental value growth in Greece and Portugal over the next two years by around 6% and 4% respectively. The cuts reflect downgrades to our GDP growth forecasts. Our rental... 1st April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Is the Greek crisis really over? Recent more positive developments in Greece have led to some suggestions that the Greek crisis is finally over. But Greece still has a number of major challenges. 15th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Weakening growth outlook is another headache for Greece For now, at least, Greece has persuaded the European Commission (EC) that it can meet its ambitious fiscal target for 2010. But the Greek crisis is far from over. Indeed, with the economy set to... 12th March 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update How exposed are Emerging Europe’s banks to Greece? In a recent Update we argued that the crisis in Greece has dealt a huge blow to the prospects for a further rapid expansion of the euro-zone (see Emerging Europe Update, ‘Greek tragedy to temper EMU... 4th March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update New Greek measures may open door to firmer support The news that the Greek Government will tomorrow announce further measures to reduce its budget deficit raises hope that it will receive the firmer support from the rest of the euro-zone it requires... 2nd March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Greek bail-out now more likely than not The revelation that Greece used complex financial assets to improve the official figures on the public finances earlier this decade highlights the uncertainty surrounding the reliability of these... 24th February 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Is Japan the next Greece? Japan should be able to avoid the sort of crisis that has hit Greece so hard. Government debt may be even larger in Japan, but the country is in a much stronger position in almost every other respect. 22nd February 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Greek tragedy to temper EMU expansion Recent events in Greece have fundamentally weakened the economic arguments in favour of a rapid expansion of the euro-zone to include EU member states in the East. Political appetite for euro-area... 22nd February 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Is Belgium the Greece of the North? Despite growing fairly solidly in the last two quarters, Belgium shares some worrying similarities with Greece and the other troubled Southern euro-zone economies. But its stronger trade position and... 17th February 2010 · 1 min read
