Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Jul.) July’s inflation data confirmed that price pressures in Germany are very subdued, underlining the need for continued and perhaps increased ECB policy support. 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Ireland GDP (Q1) Ireland's economy went like the clappers in Q1, setting the country up for another year as the euro-zone's fastest-growing economy. 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response EC Business & Consumer Survey (Jul.) The European Commission’s monthly Business and Consumer Survey for July provided some reassurance that the euro-zone economic recovery has retained some momentum in the third quarter. But growth... 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What impact could Fed and BoE rate rises have on European real estate? Early interest rate rises in the US and UK will push up bond yields globally. But, with further monetary easing still likely in Europe, we do not expect much of an effect on European assets. We... 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Swedish GDP (Q2, Prov.) The provisional estimate of Swedish Q2 GDP revealed that the economic recovery regained some momentum after the disappointing start to the year. But we doubt that it will prevent the Riksbank from... 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Spanish GDP (Q2 est.) & HICP (Jul.) While Spain’s economic recovery gathered more pace in the second quarter, the large amount of spare capacity is still sustaining deflationary pressures in the economy. 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish GDP (Q2 15, Prov.) The provisional estimate of Swedish Q2 GDP revealed that the economic recovery regained some momentum after the disappointing start to the year. But we doubt that it will prevent the Riksbank from... 30th July 2015 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Greater scope for prime office yields to narrow in Munich than London The spread between government bond yields in Germany and the UK is less indicative of the relative strength of the two countries’ economic outlooks than it was in the past. As such, in contrast to... 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Fed won’t spark EM sell-off today, but data may add to volatility We do not expect any fireworks in EM financial markets after today’s FOMC statement, but with policymakers likely to reiterate that the timing of “lift-off” will be data dependent our upbeat view on... 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Are imbalances still a problem in the euro-zone? Euro-zone current account imbalances have narrowed since the financial crisis, and there are good reasons to think that they will not return to pre-crisis levels for some time. But policymakers’... 29th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Another strong quarter for European property investment The majority of European countries recorded a rise in commercial property investment in the second quarter, with the peripheral euro-zone markets generally leading the pack. Despite the latest RICS... 28th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Export success masks Portugal’s external weakness Portugal’s exports have been amongst the euro-zone’s fastest growing over the last few years. But the country’s external position remains very fragile, leaving it vulnerable to renewed market... 28th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Euro-zone Monetary Indicators Monitor (Jun.) June’s euro-zone monetary data point to a continued economic recovery, although they suggest that growth will not gather much more pace. 27th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Jul.) July’s rise in German Ifo business sentiment is an encouraging sign that the recovery has continued despite the Greek crisis, although it does not seem to be gaining much pace. 27th July 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Weak growth hindering euro-zone’s fiscal progress Greece last week passed the necessary reforms to start negotiations with its creditors on a third bailout. But with the country back in recession, it will struggle to meet the creditors’ fiscal goals... 24th July 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Greek deal brings sigh of relief Greece’s move towards a third bailout has brought relief to Central and South Eastern Europe where concerns about contagion were very real, particularly in the Balkans. While it is too early to say... 24th July 2015 · 1 min read
