Asia Economics Update Bank of Korea unlikely to raise rates soon The Bank of Korea (BoK) left its policy rate unchanged today amid signs that the domestic economy is recovering. Some commentators are expecting rate hikes soon, but we believe the significant... 9th July 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Korean recovery to follow the West, not Asia While Korea is in much better shape to weather the 2008-09 global crisis than was the case during the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997-98, weak external demand and high domestic household indebtedness... 2nd July 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update BoK holds, but rate cuts still more likely than hikes The Bank of Korea (BoK) left its key interest rate unchanged today, noting that “proactive fiscal and monetary policy” measures have stabilised GDP. But despite signs of recovery, there are still... 11th June 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update More signs that Asia's recovery is taking its time The slight fall in China’s official PMI in May is actually fairly encouraging since the index usually falls by much more at this time of year. But Asia’s recovery is only gaining ground slowly, as... 1st June 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update More signs that Asia’s recovery is taking its time The slight fall in China’s official PMI in May is actually fairly encouraging since the index usually falls by much more at this time of year. But Asia’s recovery is only gaining ground slowly, as... 1st June 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update BoK holds for now, but rates have yet to bottom out The Bank of Korea (BoK) left its policy rate unchanged today, with the focus shifting to big fiscal stimulus plans and direct support for the financial sector instead. The Bank will also have been... 12th May 2009 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Asian recovery still needs deeper roots There was much to cheer in China’s latest PMI and April’s export data from Korea. But they are consistent with stabilisation rather than either economy springing rapidly back to life. 1st May 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Bank of Korea heading towards zero. The Bank of Korea’s decision to cut the policy rate by 50bp to a fresh low of 2.0% signals its determination to support a crumbling economy. We had already expected rates to fall to 1%, but the... 12th February 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Bank of Korea not finished cutting rates The Bank of Korea’s decision to cut interest rates to a new low of 2.5% signals its determination to support a flagging economy. However, with exports plunging and domestic demand extremely weak, the... 9th January 2009 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean interest rates on course for 1%. The Bank of Korea’s decision to cut its key official rate by a full percentage point to 3.0% today has already taken it to a historic low. But with incoming data pointing to an outright recession next... 11th December 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Bank of Korea to cut rates to a historic low of 1.5% High indebtedness, dysfunctional credit markets, and the prospect of a deep and prolonged global slowdown will drag Korea into its first recession since the Asian financial crisis of 1997. We expect... 31st October 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean bailout positive but won't prevent slowdown The announcement of a massive $130bn (13% of GDP) liquidity support package by the Korean authorities over the weekend should calm the markets and boost the currency in the short run, but it won’t... 20th October 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean interest rates to fall to 3% The Bank of Korea’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) to 5% (together with a similar move by Taiwan and a further 50bp cut by Hong Kong) was not so surprising given yesterday’s... 9th October 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean rates will fall soon despite hawkish statement Today’s decision by the Bank of Korea (BoK) to keep interest rates at 5.25% (after last month’s 25 basis points hike) was accompanied by a relatively hawkish policy statement. But we still expect the... 11th September 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update First Korean rate hike in 12 months also likely to be last We suspect that today’s 25bp rate hike from the Bank of Korea (BoK) will be a one-off move similar to the European Central Bank’s warning shot last month, rather than the first in a new tightening... 7th August 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Bank of Korea turns to forex intervention to fight inflation The Bank of Korea (BoK) held official rates at 5.00% today, as widely expected. The accompanying statement highlighted the growing dilemma facing the BoK. But successful interventions to prop up the... 10th July 2008 · 1 min read
