Asia Economics Update Indonesia hikes, but rate tightening cycle is probably over Bank Indonesia’s decision to hike interest rates today is largely aimed at easing pressure on the current account and stabilising the rupiah. But the lagged impact of substantial rate increases in the... 12th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly When India sneezes... India is by a long way the largest economy in South Asia. It is eight times the size of Pakistan and more than 30 times the size of Sri Lanka. India’s current weakness might therefore be expected to... 8th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update No rebound in Indonesia’s growth likely soon Data released today showed that the pace of economic growth in Indonesia slowed again in Q3. Looking ahead, high inflation and recent interest rate hikes will weigh on growth over the next year. 6th November 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian markets see small rises Following a rollercoaster couple of months, which saw big falls in financial markets in August, followed by a strong rebound in September, equity markets have recorded small gains this month... 28th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Weak domestic demand to hold back growth in Korea Today’s GDP data show that Korea recorded another quarter of solid growth in Q3, thanks mainly to strong domestic demand. Looking ahead, low interest rates and a pickup in exports should provide a... 28th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Growth remains weak despite signs of global recovery Growth in Emerging Asia has continued to slow, despite signs of recoveryelsewhere in the global economy. Our GDP Tracker, which uses monthly dataon output and expenditure, suggests regional output is... 22nd October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asian export prospects looking up The IMF is right to argue that fiscal policy in South Africa needs to be tightened over the coming years in order to put public debt on a stable path. But its recommendation that South Africa adopt a... 14th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economic Outlook China and India holding back regional rebound GDP growth in Emerging Asia over the next couple of years is likely to remain lacklustre by recent historical standards. The main reason for the subdued outlook is poor growth prospects in the region... 8th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Time to worry about property price bubbles in Asia? Since the global financial crisis many economies in Asia have seen big increases in property prices. However, it is only in Hong Kong and parts of Taiwan that prices look to be in bubble territory and... 30th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Emerging Asia Markets Monitor (Sep.) Asian currencies and equity markets have rebounded strongly over the past month. The biggest gains have been in those countries that were hardest hit by the sell-off in August. Bond yields have fallen... 24th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly India’s Reserve Bank changes tack The new governor of the Reserve Bank of India has attempted a deft trick at his first policy meeting: hiking the most closely-watched policy rate to signal his inflation fighting intentions while... 20th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Five years after Lehmans: how has Asia changed? It is five years since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. Asia has been able to grow rapidly in the years since, but with monetary policy both at home and abroad likely to be less supportive in the... 13th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Bank Indonesia to keep monetary policy tight Bank Indonesia (BI) today unexpectedly hiked interest rates in response to continued weakness in the rupiah. Looking ahead, even if the currency starts to recover soon, monetary policy will still need... 12th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Falling current account surpluses are not to be feared Current account deficits in India and Indonesia have rightly caused some concern, but elsewhere in Asia the trend towards smaller current account surpluses should be welcomed. 9th September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Currency weakness will not lead to inflation spike in Asia The recent sell-off in Asian currencies has sparked fears that the region is about to suffer a sharp spike in inflation. We think this is unlikely. While exchange rate depreciation can push up the... 3rd September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update August PMIs show Asian manufacturing sectors still struggling The August PMIs for Emerging Asia show that, outside of China, the region’s manufacturers are continuing to struggle, with the headline numbers now below 50 across the region. 2nd September 2013 · 1 min read