Emerging Europe Data Response Turkey CPI (May) & Hungary Retail Sales (Apr.) The rise in Turkish inflation in May, to 8.1% y/y, was driven by a pick-up in core price pressures and provides further evidence that the economy’s inflation problems are escalating. Elsewhere... 3rd June 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (May) May’s batch of manufacturing PMI data for Emerging Europe provided further evidence that the slump in the Russian economy has deepened in the second quarter. But the surveys finally brought some... 1st June 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Equities weaken, bond yields rise Financial markets in Emerging Europe have generally performed poorly over the past month, with equities having dropped back and the region’s bonds having been hit by the sell-off in developed... 28th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Window for further Hungarian rate cuts is closing 26th May 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Hungarian property capital values ready for lift-off The Hungarian economy stands to see above-trend growth rates in the coming years, supporting occupier demand. With the prospects for rental values turning positive, yields look cheap on a historical... 13th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Hungary, Romania & Slovakia GDP (Q1) The stronger-than-expected preliminary first quarter GDP estimates out of Hungary, Romania and Slovakia are particularly encouraging in light of the slowdown in the German economy. All in all, the... 13th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Turkey Ind. Prod. (Mar.) & Hungary CPI (Apr.) The stronger-than-expected 4.7% y/y rise in Turkish industrial production in March provides much-needed good news for President Erdogan ahead of next month’s election. But even so, growth in industry... 8th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Czech & Hungary Industrial Production (Mar.) March’s industrial production data from the Czech Republic and Hungary show that both economies ended the first quarter on a strong note. Indeed, these data, put together with the latest retail sales... 7th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Apr.) April’s raft of manufacturing PMIs in Emerging Europe, released today and yesterday, suggest that conditions in the Russian and Turkish industrial sectors improved a little at the start of the second... 5th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Russia’s economy slumps, growth weakens in Turkey The region’s two largest economies – Russia and Turkey – have continued to struggle over the past month. Russia’s economy appears to have contracted sharply by around 3% y/y in Q1. Meanwhile, we... 27th April 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Hungarian MPC signals further easing to come The communiqué accompanying today’s decision by the Hungarian National Bank to cut its two-week deposit rate by 15bp, to 1.80%, was very similar to last month’s and clearly indicated that another... 21st April 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Brightening outlook for Central European consumer markets Following a torrid few years after the global financial crisis, Central European consumer spending has started to recover gradually over the last eighteen months and there are reasons to expect this... 14th April 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Hungary’s Sunday trading ban symbolic of reform backsliding The decision taken by the Hungarian government to ban Sunday trading is unlikely to have a major impact on the economy at an aggregate level. But as we explain in this Watch, it may lead to a shift in... 9th April 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will stronger industrial output drive CE industrial rental growth? A combination of strengthening industrial output and further growth in the logistics sector will underpin industrial rental levels in Central Europe this year and allow them to pick up from 2016. 2nd April 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Bucharest industrial capital values set for strong growth A more balanced economy and improvements in public institutions have reduced the risk of investing in Romania. And, given that industrial yields remain close to 10% despite strong levels of activity... 26th March 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Central Europe shaping up well at the start of 2015 Despite concerns about deflation, a recession in Russia and sluggishness in the euro-zone, the latest data out of Central Europe have been surprisingly robust. Industrial production growth has... 25th March 2015 · 1 min read