Emerging Europe Economics Update Policymakers to look through rise in inflation (Feb 10) Although inflation has risen across much of the region in recent months, policymakers remain in no rush to raise interest rates. For a start, the bulk of the pick-up in inflation has been caused by... 18th February 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update RICS survey relatively upbeat on the Czech Republic Last week’s RICS Global Commercial Property Survey painted a mixed picture of commercial property investment market activity in Emerging Europe. The recovery seemed to be strongest in the Czech... 2nd February 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Pick-up in inflation to prove temporary (Jan 10) Inflation across much of Emerging Europe has risen in recent months. Nonetheless, there are good reasons to think that these rises will be short-lived. For a start, the pick-ups have been driven... 29th January 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Downside risks to Czech and Polish retail rents still evident The latest European Commission survey revealed an encouraging, widespread further improvement in industrial confidence in Emerging Europe in January. But data revealed a far more mixed picture for... 28th January 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update In no rush to tighten (Jan 10) While policymakers in a number of countries have appeared less dovish of late, three factors should keep interest rates much lower than the markets currently expect. First, the pace of economic... 21st January 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Czech Rep: pick-up in inflation but rate hikes not imminent Today’s inflation data from the Czech Republic should put to bed any lingering fears of a prolonged period of deflation. But with core price pressures set to remain subdued, we still think that... 11th January 2010 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack 2009: a year to forget or a spur for reform? (Dec 09) Twenty years after the fall of Communism, 2009 should have been a year to celebrate in Eastern Europe. Instead, it looks like a year to forget. The region was hit harder than any other by the turmoil... 23rd December 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Policymakers to retain their dovish bias (Dec 09) The markets are now pricing in relatively aggressive monetary tightening from mid-2010 in most countries in Emerging Europe but we think that three factors will keep rates much lower than investors... 18th December 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Domestic pressures to hold back the recovery (Q4 2009) The good news is that following the turmoil earlier this year, most economies in Emerging Europe have now returned to positive growth and financial markets have bounced. The bad news is that a number... 10th December 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Q3 GDP show signs of growth, but a long way to go (Nov 09) Q3 GDP data released earlier this month painted a mixed picture. Although much of the region has now returned to positive quarterly growth, this has been was driven by a variety of temporary factors... 27th November 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Easing-cycle may be over, but hikes are not imminent (Nov 09) After an aggressive easing of monetary policy over the past year, we now think that interest rates have troughed in Poland, Turkey and the Czech Republic. However policymakers in all three will retain... 20th November 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Consumer and business confidence starts to return (Oct 09) After collapsing across the board earlier in the year, consumer and business confidence indicators have rebounded sharply over the past six months. In some cases, they are approaching pre-crisis... 29th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Should Prague and Warsaw office yields be more differentiated? Investors seem to have taken a broad-brush approach to pricing Prague and Warsaw office markets in recent years. Should there be more differentiation in pricing between these markets? We think that... 22nd October 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Markets still premature in pricing in rate hikes (Oct 09) Although monetary easing-cycles in much of the region are drawing to a close, we still do not expect rates to be hiked anywhere before the second half of 2010. Turkey is likely to be the first to... 16th October 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Fiscal concerns coming to the fore (Sep 09) As deep recessions in the region have unfolded, all countries in Emerging Europe have experienced a sharp deterioration in their public finances. Some nations, particularly those that have turned to... 30th September 2009 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Brighter outlook but still facing an uphill struggle (Q3 2009) We have nudged up our GDP forecasts for the region’s most open economies, predominantly those in Central Europe, in response to a modest improvement in the outlook for Western Europe. The inventory... 22nd September 2009 · 1 min read
