Emerging Europe Economics Update Growth stabilising, but uneven performance The raft of preliminary Q1 GDP data for Central and South Eastern Europe, released today and yesterday, suggests that, while the slowdown at the end of last year has bottomed out, growth is sluggish... 15th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Set for a sluggish and uneven recovery The slowdown in Emerging Europe appears to have bottomed out at the start of the year. We expect growth to pick up over the second half of 2013, but the risk of a flare-up in the euro-crisis, the... 14th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Slowdown bottoms out in Q1 A raft of Q1 GDP data due to be released over the coming weeks is likely to show that growth stabilised in most of Emerging Europe. Russia is the notable exception. Here, the slowdown seems to have... 13th May 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack A soft start to the year The slowdown in growth in Emerging Europe appears to have bottomed out in the first quarter of this year. We estimate that, at an aggregate level, the region grew by around 0.8% y/y, in line with... 29th April 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Turkey leading the recovery, Russia lagging behind The latest activity data from Emerging Europe have been something of a mixed bag. Turkey is leading the recovery as a rebound in credit growth has fuelled domestic demand. Here, we think GDP growth... 21st March 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Bottoming out GDP data released over the past month showed that growth in Emerging Europe slumped to a postcrisis low of just 0.8% y/y in the final quarter of last year. Nonetheless, the latest surveys suggest that... 28th February 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Outlook improves, but downside risks remain Growth in Emerging Europe sank to a post-crisis low in the final quarter of 2012 but the latest surveys suggest that the outlook has brightened a little since the turn of the year. We expect growth to... 27th February 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update GDP growth sinks to post-crisis low The raft of Q4 GDP data released today for Emerging Europe suggests that growth in the region sank to a post-2009 low of 0.8% y/y. An improvement in sentiment within the euro-zone should feed through... 14th February 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Euro-zone risks ease but banks remain fragile The continued improvement in sentiment towards the euro-zone has simultaneously eased external funding conditions for Emerging Europe’s banks and reduced the threat of financial contagion from the... 4th February 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Sentiment picks up but growth still weak The outlook for Emerging Europe has brightened considerably at the start of the year. Equities have rallied while the latest survey data from key euro-zone export markets have picked up markedly... 30th January 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Bulgaria's lost decade The Bulgarian economy is in the middle of a lost decade. A lack of competitiveness against the backdrop of a fixed exchange rate, coupled with the country’s close proximity to the euro-zone’s weakest... 17th January 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack A tough end to the year Growth across Emerging Europe has continued to slow in recent months and is likely to remain extremely weak in 2013. Official data suggest that the region grew by less than 2% y/y in the third quarter... 17th December 2012 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Growth slows, markets rally A raft of recently released Q3 GDP data for Emerging Europe paints a pretty gloomy picture. The Czech and Hungarian economies are still stuck in recession, while even the region’s better performers –... 29th November 2012 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Slowdown has further to run A strong labour market combined with low and stable mortgage rates have not been able to prevent a small rise in mortgage arrears. Possessions are currently being kept low by continued lender... 22nd November 2012 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update A grim set of Q3 data Third quarter GDP data for Central and Eastern Europe make for pretty grim reading. Output contracted on a quarterly basis in three of the five countries that reported figures and the business surveys... 15th November 2012 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Economic slowdown spreads to strongest performers The slowdown across Emerging Europe has intensified in recent months. We reckon that the region’s economy expanded at an annual pace of around 1.5-2.0% in Q3, down from 2.5% in Q2 and an average of 4... 26th October 2012 · 1 min read
