Industrial Metals Update Zinc prices have further to fall Surging Chinese smelter output and faltering demand mean we think that zinc prices are set to drop by more than 15% by the end of this year and are unlikely to start recovering until the second half... 12th September 2019 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Much too soon to call a recovery Although the prices of most industrial commodities rose this week, we think that a sustained and broad-based recovery is still some way away. A trio of factors were responsible for this week’s rise... 6th September 2019 · 7 mins read
Metals Chart Pack Demand concerns to continue driving prices We expect worries about the escalating US-China trade war and prospects for the global economy to continue to drive metals prices in the coming months. Precious metals are benefitting from the... 6th September 2019 · 7 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack US-China trade war to continue to weigh on prices The escalation in US-China trade tensions led to investors becoming more risk averse, which boosted the prices of gold and silver but depressed the prices of agricultural and industrial commodities... 4th September 2019 · 7 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Back to 2014 for nickel Indonesia’s announcement of an imminent ban on exports of nickel ore has sent nickel prices to a five-year high. While trending higher initially, we expect prices to slump next year as supply is... 3rd September 2019 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update China and India Gold Imports (Jul.) Gold’s price rally saw Indian and Chinese imports continue to tumble in July. And, given that prices have risen further in August, gold imports could record multi-year lows in the second half of 2019. 28th August 2019 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (Jul.) July’s slowdown in steel production was probably a sign of things to come given environmental restrictions, squeezed margins and soft demand in China. Nonetheless, steel prices look set to fall... 27th August 2019 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Powell & China wake commodities from their slumber After a quiet start to the week, Friday’s announcement of additional Chinese tariffs on US imports and Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole stirred prices (and President Trump) into action. Most... 23rd August 2019 · 7 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Lead price rally to go into reverse We think that a recovery in refined lead production, ailing demand, and elevated trade tensions should cause the price of lead to drop by almost 15% by end-2019. 23rd August 2019 · 3 mins read
Precious Metals Update Palladium and rand dent platinum’s prospects We forecast that a weaker South African rand coupled with the high prices of by-products at platinum mines will mean that the price of platinum stays firmly in the doldrums over the next couple of... 19th August 2019 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly A short-term reprieve, before prices fall further President Trump’s decision to delay the proposed 10% tariff on just over $150bn of Chinese imports gave a lift to most industrial commodity prices this week. That said, any optimism about an improved... 16th August 2019 · 7 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Cobalt prices to soar Glencore’s decision to temporarily close the world’s largest cobalt mine by the end of this year has given cobalt prices a shot in the arm. As a result, the price of cobalt could rally by more than 60... 13th August 2019 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly Some signs of the dust settling The fall-out from Mr Trump’s threat to levy a 10% tariff on $300bn worth of Chinese imports continued to roil commodity markets this week. The prices of crude oil and most industrial commodities fell... 9th August 2019 · 7 mins read
Commodities Update Upturn in China’s imports flatters to deceive China’s commodity imports jumped in July, but this comes after pitifully low volumes in prior months and, in some cases, merely reflected improved availability. As such, it is unlikely to mark the... 8th August 2019 · 2 mins read
Industrial Metals Update Back to normality for iron ore Iron ore prices have plunged by a sixth so far in August and we think that rebounding output and slower Chinese demand growth will mean that prices will fall by a further 20% to $80 per tonne by end... 7th August 2019 · 3 mins read
Metals Chart Pack From bad to worse Despite sharp declines in recent days, we expect the prices of most industrial metals to fall further this year as demand falters in the wake of slower global economic growth. We are particularly... 6th August 2019 · 7 mins read
