Asia Economics Update Malaysia’s central bank to resume easing next year Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) left its main policy rate on hold at 1.75% today, but with a new set of restrictions to combat a second outbreak of the virus dragging on the economy, we doubt this marks... 3rd November 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Oct.) PMI readings for Asia suggest that manufacturing conditions improved further in October, and strong global demand for electronics should continue to support the sector over the coming months. 2nd November 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea Trade (Oct.) Korean export values picked up to above pre-crisis levels in October and grew in working-day adjusted y/y terms for the first time since late-2018. While large second waves of the virus across the... 2nd November 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly More evidence of a strong recovery in Korea Activity data released today suggest that Korea’s economy ended last quarter on a strong note and that the provisional estimate of Q3 GDP is likely to be revised up. 30th October 2020 · 8 mins read
Asia Data Response Taiwan GDP (Q3) Taiwan’s economy continued to outperform much of the rest of the world in the third quarter, with GDP rising by 3.3% y/y. With the virus eliminated at home and exports rebounding strongly, the economy... 30th October 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Export outperformance lifts Asian growth Asian exports have continued to defy gravity. Despite the biggest slump in the global economy since the Second World War, regional exports are already back to their pre-crisis level. The resilience of... 28th October 2020 · 4 mins read
Asia Chart Pack A vaccine would not transform the region’s prospects The progress made towards the development of a vaccine against COVID-19 has been remarkable. Most experts now believe that a vaccine may be available by the end of this year or the first quarter of... 27th October 2020 · 14 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea GDP (Q3, provisional) Korean GDP rebounded last quarter as exports bounced back strongly, and with the economic impact of the “second wave” fading and exports picking up further, the recovery is set to continue over the... 27th October 2020 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economic Outlook Asia leading the way The speed and strength of economic recoveries in emerging markets will continue to vary enormously by country, with China and some other parts of Asia leading and India, South Africa and much of Latin... 23rd October 2020 · 26 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Economies in need of continued policy support National accounts data due to be published over the next few weeks will show that although many economies experienced record-breaking rebounds in GDP last quarter, output remains well below pre-crisis... 23rd October 2020 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Update Sri Lanka on hold for now, more easing next year The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) left both its deposit and lending rate on hold at 4.50% and 5.50% respectively at its meeting today but, given the poor outlook for the economy, we think the... 22nd October 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update How might the US election impact Asia? With the US election result unlikely to have immediate ramifications for US GDP, the main issue for much of Asia is how it affects trade policy. A Joe Biden presidency would be less confrontational... 21st October 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea Trade (1st – 20th Oct.) Strong export growth in the first 20 days of October was driven by buoyant foreign demand for electronics, and exports now look likely to provide a boost to y/y growth this quarter. 21st October 2020 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update The US election and its impact on emerging markets Whatever the outcome of the US election, we expect that the trends of US-China decoupling and deglobalisation will continue. The election result could be pivotal for some EMs: a Joe Biden victory... 16th October 2020 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Problems mount in Malaysia Malaysia’s economy has rebounded rapidly from the crisis. However, headwinds are growing. Having been on the verge of being eliminated, confirmed inflections have surged in recent days. Meanwhile, the... 16th October 2020 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Update Thai protests a key risk to the recovery The renewed risk of domestic political unrest in Thailand following the declaration of a “severe” state of emergency could act as a further drag on the already beleaguered economy. 15th October 2020 · 2 mins read
