Asia Data Response Philippines GDP (Q3) The Philippines economy rebounded in the third quarter of the year, but we expect growth to slow over the coming months as high inflation, rising interest rates and weaker global demand weigh on... 10th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily We think optimism around China’s COVID policy is misplaced The recent rally in assets and currencies linked to the prospects of China’s economy on hopes that the authorities in China will relax their “zero-COVID” policy is unlikely to last. 7th November 2022 · 5 mins read
Asia Data Response Indonesia (Q3 GDP) Economic growth in Indonesia accelerated in the third quarter, but this is likely to be as good as it gets. We expect lower commodity prices, tighter monetary policy and elevated inflation to drag on... 7th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Problems for Korean corporates piling up Yields on commercial paper in Korea have continued to rise over the past week despite aggressive intervention by the authorities as they struggle to calm the markets. But even if the situation... 4th November 2022 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Update Bank Negara Malaysia closing in on the finish line Malaysia’s central bank (BNM) raised its main policy rate by 25bp (to 2.75%) today, but with inflation falling and growth set to slow, we think the tightening cycle is nearing an end. 3rd November 2022 · 3 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Policymakers increase currency support Central banks across the region have been stepping up the pace of intervention in foreign exchange markets to support their currencies, resulting in a drop in FX reserves. In most countries, reserves... 31st October 2022 · 15 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Three key calls, Vietnam playing catch up We published our latest Emerging Asia Economic Outlook earlier this week, containing new forecasts for GDP, inflation and monetary policy. In this Weekly, we outline three key non-consensus calls from... 28th October 2022 · 7 mins read
Asia Data Response Taiwan GDP (Q3) Taiwan’s economy returned to growth in Q3, after the Omicron-induced slump in the second quarter, but we expect growth to weaken considerably over the coming quarters as exports struggle and the... 28th October 2022 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economic Outlook Mounting headwinds set stage for sluggish growth EM GDP growth has slowed sharply this year and is likely to remain sluggish in 2023 and 2024 as weak external demand and tight financial conditions take their toll. Having started hiking rates much... 27th October 2022 · 2 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Goods trade set to fall as global recession takes hold There is growing evidence that weakening demand in major economies is taking a toll on world trade. While trade volumes rose in August, early reporting Asian economies revealed a decline in imports in... 26th October 2022 · 4 mins read