Emerging Markets Economics Update Asia drives rebound in EM manufacturing According to the latest batch of PMI data, manufacturing activity across the emerging world strengthened in July supported largely by a continued improvement in Emerging Asia, in particular China... 4th August 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Consumer spending in Emerging Asia set for recovery Emerging Asia’s consumers have been struggling in recent months. Tight labour markets and improving growth prospects point to some pick-up going forward, but high levels of household debt in a number... 4th August 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update July PMIs point to strengthening recovery The July PMIs for Emerging Asia show that the region's manufacturing sectors generally fared well over the past month. Encouragingly, rising new orders suggests the recovery has further to run. 1st August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Activity Monitor China rebound leaves other BRICs lagging behind Our GDP Tracker suggests that EM growth has accelerated a touch in recent months. Much of the pick-up has been due to a turnaround in Asia, including China. But while the outlook for China seems to... 31st July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Further tightening likely in the Philippines The central bank in the Philippines (BSP) hiked its main policy rate earlier today for the first time in over three years in a further attempt to reduce risks in the financial sector and clamp down on... 31st July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Indonesia's financial markets recover on the back of election results Most of the region's currencies and equity markets fared well over the past month. In particular, Joko Widodo's presidential election victory in July helped Indonesia's financial markets stage a... 31st July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Growth in Taiwan to remain healthy Taiwan’s economy continued to gain momentum last quarter, largely owing to a rebound in investment. Over the next year or so, we expect Taiwan’s economy to continue to record decent growth, supported... 31st July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Property price worries prompt rate hikes The central banks of New Zealand, the Philippines and Malaysia all tightened monetary policy last month amid signs that policymakers are becoming increasingly concerned that loose monetary policy is... 30th July 2014 · 1 min read
EM Valuations Monitor Are EM credit spreads about to surge? The yields of dollar-denominated emerging market government bonds have been broadly flat over the past month after having declined by over one percentage point between the end of January and the end... 29th July 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM demographic challenge not the disaster that many expect The contribution that favourable demographics have made to emerging market growth over the past couple of decades is often overplayed. In reality, the growth of working age populations has played only... 29th July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Fuel subsidy reform an early test for Indonesia’s Jokowi Financial markets have welcomed the election of Joko Widodo as Indonesia’s president, but there is still great uncertainty over his policy priorities and his ability to push through his own agenda. Mr... 28th July 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Fall in agricultural prices to help keep EM inflation muted Inflation across the EM world remains relatively low in aggregate terms, even if it is still worryingly high in a handful of countries. Looking ahead, with global food prices falling, and underlying... 24th July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean growth to accelerate in H2 on stimulus spending Despite the sharp Q2 slowdown in Korea, today’s government stimulus package should lead to anacceleration in growth in the second half of the year, putting the economy on schedule to meet ourforecast... 24th July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update New Zealand rates to go on pause after latest hike The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised its policy rate by 25bp for the fourth straight meeting today, but signalled that it may now stay on hold for a while. We still expect one more rate hike... 24th July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Korean slowdown unlikely to prompt a rate cut GDP growth in Korea eased in the second quarter of the year, mainly due to a fall in consumer spending and investment. Although recent economic weakness has reignited talk of a possible rate cut, we... 24th July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus What can India's policymakers do to kick-start growth? The new government’s emphatic election victory in May has lifted some of the gloom that has hung over India’s economy in recent years. We see a number of ways in which the country’s new leaders can... 23rd July 2014 · 1 min read