Asia Economics Update August PMIs show Asian manufacturing sectors still struggling The August PMIs for Emerging Asia show that, outside of China, the region’s manufacturers are continuing to struggle, with the headline numbers now below 50 across the region. 2nd September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Is India’s economy heading the way of its currency? Today’s GDP figures underline that India’s economy was already fragile before the recent rout of the rupee. Given the ongoing turmoil, economic conditions look likely to get worse before they get any... 2nd September 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Rupee and rupiah take a hit, signs of resilience elsewhere Asia has borne the brunt of the EM currency sell-off this month with the Indian rupee and Indonesian rupiah the worst performers in the emerging world. The currencies of Thailand and the Philippines... 29th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Slower growth in Indonesia likely after recent rate hikes The extent of the latest rout in emerging market currencies has prompted comparisons with previous crises, such as that in the autumn of 2008. But we suspect some recovery may be around the corner... 29th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Growth in the Philippines to remain strong GDP growth in the Philippines remained strong in Q2, helped by buoyant domestic demand. The economy is well-placed to withstand recent turmoil in financial markets. Indeed, we still expect the... 29th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus How vulnerable is Asia to capital outflows? Financial markets in Asia have continued to suffer this week but we continue to believe that the region will weather the storm. Vulnerabilities are highest in India. Elsewhere though, even a large... 29th August 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Activity Monitor EM growth remains disappointing Our GDP Tracker suggests that growth is no longer slowing across the emerging world, with the exception of Emerging Asia. But neither does it seem to be recovering. 28th August 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Should we still worry about EM currency crises? Improved fundamentals mean that currency crises pose a much smaller risk to Emerging Markets now than in the past. But it would be unwise to assume that the coast is therefore clear for the emerging... 26th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly It’s not all doom and gloom for Asia Recent headlines have been dominated by a sharp shift in sentiment against EM assets. Asian economies have been hit harder than most in the sell-off. However, away from the financial markets, there... 26th August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update How does India today compare with previous crises? The rupee continued to slide today, breaking through 65 to the US dollar for the first time. Newspaper headlines continue to talk of a crisis. In this Update we compare the current situation with... 22nd August 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Currency weakness unlikely to cause EM inflation to rise The sell-off in emerging market (EM) currencies this month is unlikely to have much of an impact on EM-wide inflation. Indeed, looking ahead, we think the outlook for EM inflation is fairly benign. 22nd August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Emerging Asia Markets Monitor (Aug.) Asian currencies and equity markets have been hit hard by the recent sell-off inemerging market assets with India and Indonesia the worst affected in the region.Bond yields have risen, but remain low... 21st August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Malaysia’s 2013 growth to disappoint The Bank of Thailand kept its policy rate at 2.50% today. We continue to expect the central bank to keep rates low for the rest of 2013 before gradually tightening in 2014 as growth prospects improve. 21st August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thai rates to stay unchanged in 2013 The Bank of Thailand kept its policy rate at 2.50% today. We continue to expect the central bank to keep rates low for the rest of 2013 before gradually tightening in 2014 as growth prospects improve. 21st August 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Is India heading toward crisis? The slide of the rupee has triggered speculation that India is heading toward a balance of payments crisis. We do not think a crisis is on the cards, but the outlook is downbeat and fraught with risks... 20th August 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Three questions (and answers) about the EM currency sell-off The renewed sell-off in EM currencies has cast a fresh spotlight on vulnerabilities in the emerging world. In this Update we answer three key questions that have been raised by recent market moves. 20th August 2013 · 1 min read
