Asia Economics Update Taiwan to record gradual recovery in 2014 GDP data for Taiwan released today showed the economy slowed sharply in the second quarter. Looking ahead, we expect things to get better slowly, on the back of continued loose monetary policy and a... 31st October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update New Zealand to leave first rate hike until mid-2014 The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy rate unchanged at 2.5% today. There is little immediate pressure on the central bank to hike rates, but accelerating economic growth and... 31st October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update India cuts effective policy rate, but also has an eye on inflation India’s central bank has used the scope allowed by continued exchange rate stability to further roll back liquidity tightening measures that were introduced in the summer. However, an increase in the... 29th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian markets see small rises Following a rollercoaster couple of months, which saw big falls in financial markets in August, followed by a strong rebound in September, equity markets have recorded small gains this month... 28th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Weak domestic demand to hold back growth in Korea Today’s GDP data show that Korea recorded another quarter of solid growth in Q3, thanks mainly to strong domestic demand. Looking ahead, low interest rates and a pickup in exports should provide a... 28th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Weaker government spending to weigh on growth in Malaysia With elections over and threats of rating downgrades still casting a shadow, Malaysia’s government opted to tighten fiscal policy in today’s budget. This is a welcome first step to raising the... 25th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Gradual rate hikes in the Philippines next year The central bank in the Philippines (BSP) kept its main policy rate on hold today, against a backdrop of low inflation and continued strong economic growth. Looking ahead, although the central bank is... 24th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update EM inflation likely to remain in check Emerging market (EM) inflation has been fairly stable in recent months. It edged up in September but there is little reason to think that a sharp acceleration is in the offing. 24th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Market Consumer Snapshot (Q4 2013) Consumer spending growth appears to have picked up in large parts of the emerging world over the past couple of quarters but Emerging Asia has bucked the trend and spending growth there has continued... 23rd October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Growth remains weak despite signs of global recovery Growth in Emerging Asia has continued to slow, despite signs of recoveryelsewhere in the global economy. Our GDP Tracker, which uses monthly dataon output and expenditure, suggests regional output is... 22nd October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Focus Is a debt problem brewing in emerging markets? Having been spectators to the credit crisis that has gripped the developed world since 2008, debt problems now seem to be building in several major EMs. There are good reasons to think that the... 22nd October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update External positions a concern not just for “BIITS” The currencies of the so-called “BIITS” (Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa) have been singled out as being particularly vulnerable to a tightening of global monetary conditions. This... 21st October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly South East Asia's struggles set to continue next year ASEAN has been one of the bright spots in Emerging Asia over the past few years. However, slowing growth and signs of backtracking on economic reform have made 2013 a difficult year for ASEAN's three... 21st October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update No rate changes in Thailand through to mid-2014 The Bank of Thailand kept its policy rate unchanged today at a low of just 2.50% against a backdrop of low inflation and weak growth. Although interest rates hikes are likely to start next year, the... 16th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Why BRICs weakness is here to stay The IMF has downgraded its expectations for growth in the BRICS over the next couple of years, bringing its forecasts into line with our own. But while at face value the Fund expects growth to rebound... 15th October 2013 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Singapore's outlook is upbeat, despite Q3 contraction Today’s GDP data showed that Singapore's economy contracted in Q3. Nevertheless, the outlook remains upbeat. As such, the MAS saw no reason to change its policy stance at its meeting today. We do not... 14th October 2013 · 1 min read
