Asia Economics Update June PMIs point to sluggish recovery The June PMIs for Emerging Asia continue to point towards a slow and uneven recovery. Softening new orders are a reminder that a strong rebound is unlikely to materialise any time soon. 1st July 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Australian rate hike still a long way off The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left its policy rate at 2.5% today, and again made it clear that there will not be any changes in the near term. In fact, with mining investment set to fall and the... 1st July 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Activity Monitor Growth in the BRICs remains disappointing Our Tracker suggests that GDP in the emerging world, in aggregate, has expanded by around 4.5% y/y in recent months which is in line with Q1’s outturn. Some of the more open EM economies have gathered... 30th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Thailand’s financial markets recover, while Indonesia’s falter Reduced political tensions in Thailand have boosted its stock market and the baht. But in Indonesia, growing uncertainty over the result of July’s presidential election has weighed on financial... 30th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Korea will struggle to overcome its demographic drag Korea has some of the worst demographic dynamics in Emerging Asia. Not only is the population set to age dramatically, but the size of the overall workforce is also set to fall sharply. Although the... 30th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Banking sector woes to continue to weigh on Vietnam Today’s GDP data show the crisis in Vietnam’s banking sector is continuing to hold back the economy. With the authorities making slow progress in cleaning up the banks, we expect the woes of the... 27th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Taiwan central bank in no rush to hike interest rates Taiwan’s central bank (CBC) today left interest rates on hold, but introduced a series of measures to try and cool property prices. Looking ahead, we believe the central bank will continue to tackle... 26th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Indonesian rupiah back in the spotlight An easing of financial conditions across the global economy has given support to most currencies in Emerging Asia, which have generally been appreciating against the US dollar over the past few months... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update The winners and losers from another oil price shock The escalation of violence in Iraq over the past week or so has led to concerns that unrest in the Middle East might trigger another spike in oil prices. As it happens, the impact on world oil markets... 25th June 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Recent increase in oil price poses little threat to EM inflation The recent increase in oil prices is unlikely to have much of an impact on EM inflation, which in most places looks set to remain fairly benign. 24th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Are higher oil prices a threat to Asia? A sharp rise in oil prices as a result of the crisis in Iraq would have negative effects on Emerging Asia. While the inflationary impact is likely to be manageable, most Asian economies are net... 24th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Diesel price deregulation an early test for Modi in India Diesel subsidies in India have burned a sizeable hole in the government’s pocket over the past few years. But the stage appears to be set for a full deregulation of diesel prices in the coming months... 23rd June 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack EMs take heart as Fed sticks to taper plan Financial conditions across the emerging world have eased in recent months, as continued policy support from central banks in the developed world has supported risk appetite. This in turn has reduced... 19th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Further tightening likely in the Philippines The central bank in the Philippines (BSP) today tightened monetary policy again in an attempt to reduce risks in the financial sector and clamp down on rising inflation. We think further tightening is... 19th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update New Zealand’s economy will cool after strong Q1 New Zealand’s economy posted another robust quarter of growth in Q1, led by strong residential investment. There are signs that the economy is already cooling in response to policy tightening, but... 19th June 2014 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Pressure for rate cuts is easing in Thailand The Bank of Thailand (BoT) unsurprisingly kept its policy rate on hold at 2.0% today amid signs that the worst effects of the political crisis on the economy are probably over. Provided the economy... 18th June 2014 · 1 min read
