Metals Data Response Indonesia Tin Exports (Oct.) Indonesia’s tin exports rose strongly in October, but we expect volumes to drop sharply from November as new export regulations take effect. Lower Indonesian production and exports next year should be... 5th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Rates to remain on hold in Malaysia throughout 2016 Today’s decision by Malaysia’s central bank (BNM) to keep interest rates on hold at 3.25% indicates that it is more worried about currency weakness than the slowing economy. We expect rates will... 5th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Indonesia GDP (Q3) Indonesia recorded another quarter of relatively weak growth in Q3, with GDP expanding by just 4.7% y/y, well below the 5.8% average recorded over the past decade. With tight monetary policy and low... 5th November 2015 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Is monetary policy “just right”? Comments this week from RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan and Finance Minister Arun Jaitley hint at a welcome thawing in their frosty relationship. What’s more, they support our view that the rate-cutting... 4th November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Interest rates to remain low in Thailand for some time yet With the economy starting to show some tentative signs of recovery, the Bank of Thailand (BoT) decided to leave interest rates on hold at 1.50% today. Looking ahead, with inflation likely to remain... 4th November 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Signs of stabilisation in EM manufacturing October’s manufacturing PMIs, published today, contain early signs that the worst may finally be over for manufacturers across the EM world. The headline index improved both in key large EMs, such as... 2nd November 2015 · 1 min read
India Data Response Manufacturing PMI (Oct.) The fall in India’s manufacturing PMI reading in October highlights that, despite recent signs of a recovery in the hard activity data, local industry continues to face significant headwinds. 2nd November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Oct.) Emerging Asia's PMIs remained lacklustre in October, but in the three economies where the PMIs most closely track the hard data, the surveys suggest that manufacturing conditions are at least... 2nd November 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Credit slowdown has further to run Credit growth has continued to weaken in most of the countries which we have previously highlighted as being most at risk of a crisis. The two exceptions are China and Vietnam. Although an... 30th October 2015 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Privatisation target out of reach With more than half of the fiscal year having elapsed, the government’s aim of raising nearly INR700bn in revenues through the privatisation of various state-owned companies looks increasingly... 30th October 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update EM inflation to rebound soon Although aggregate EM inflation slowed slightly in September, it is set to rise in the months ahead as the drag from last year’s slump in oil prices fades. 30th October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Taiwan GDP (Q3) Taiwan’s GDP contracted in the third quarter, due mainly to weakness in exports. Looking ahead, we expect growth to recover soon. Exports should pick up off the back of a recovery in global demand... 30th October 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM rates to follow divergent paths The shift towards looser monetary policy in the emerging world earlier this year is over and, with the first rate hike in the US inching nearer, we think that many EMs are likely to tighten policy... 29th October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Regaining some lost ground Financial markets in Asia have fallen back following the US Fed’s monetary policy statement on Wednesday, which struck a more hawkish tone than many had expected. Despite the most recent falls, almost... 29th October 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Myanmar: Asian Tiger or basket case? A slumping currency, down by a fifth since the start of the year, a dreadful business environment, and an uncertain security situation are some of the challenges facing Myanmar as it prepares to go to... 29th October 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Activity Monitor Signs of improvement in latest EM data Against the backdrop of ongoing talk of an EM slowdown, it appears that growth in the emerging world has actually been fairly steady in recent months. In fact, the latest reading of our EM GDP Tracker... 28th October 2015 · 1 min read
