Asia Economic Outlook China holds the key to regional recovery Turmoil in China’s financial markets has fuelled concerns that its real economy is also on the brink of a crisis, but we expect continued policy support to drive a recovery over the coming months... 13th January 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Emerging Markets Capital Flows Monitor Our Capital Flows Tracker shows that aggregate EM capital outflows rose to a record $270bn in the final quarter of last year, even more than during the depths of the global financial crisis. This was... 13th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Oil price fall further dims Malaysia’s 2016 growth outlook The renewed fall in oil prices in recent months is a further blow to Malaysia’s economy. Moreover, there is very little scope for policymakers to support growth with fiscal or monetary loosening. We... 13th January 2016 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Rise in coal production belies longer-term challenges A recent pick-up in domestic production and a fall in imports of coal have led to suggestions that the government is on track to meet its target of doubling output by 2020. But the sector continues to... 13th January 2016 · 1 min read
India Data Response Consumer Prices (Dec.) & Industrial Production (Nov.) India’s consumer price inflation accelerated in December. While this doesn’t put the RBI’s inflation target for January 2016 under threat, it does highlight the difficult task the RBI faces in meeting... 12th January 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economic Outlook Crisis or recovery: what next for emerging economies? Many parts of the emerging world are facing a tough year in 2016. But the outlook is not as uniformly bleak as many assume and some important emerging economies could spring positive surprises. 11th January 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Malaysia Monthly Palm Oil Data (Dec.) Data released earlier today by Malaysia’s Palm Oil Board show that palm oil inventories declined in December for the first time since the middle of last year as production fell sharply again. 11th January 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Debunking four myths about EMs Not so long ago we were among the most bearish commentators on emerging markets. But even we find some of the more recent gloomy headlines difficult to square with the evidence on the ground. In this... 8th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Elections in 2016 – what they mean for Asia In this first Weekly of 2016, we take our usual look at the important elections that are set to take place in Asia over the coming year, assessing the implications for policymaking and the region’s... 8th January 2016 · 1 min read
India Economics Update What to expect in 2016 In our first India Watch of 2016, we outline the prospects for India’s economy over the coming year. The lagged effect of earlier policy loosening and weakness in global commodity prices should... 6th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Can Thailand move out of the slow lane? Thailand’s economy has had a disappointing decade, partly reflecting the economic costs of prolonged political conflict. The military-backed government’s recent efforts to address Thailand’s... 5th January 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM markets tumble but PMIs relatively reassuring Equities and currencies have weakened across the emerging world today but the latest economic data, in the form of the manufacturing PMIs, point to a further slight improvement in December. A fall in... 4th January 2016 · 1 min read
India Data Response Manufacturing PMI (Dec.) The slump in India’s manufacturing PMI reading in December highlights that, despite the recent strength of the hard activity data, local manufacturers continue to face significant structural headwinds... 4th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Dec.) While Asian manufacturing conditions remain lacklustre, the broad-based rise in Emerging Asia's PMIs for December is encouraging and suggests that the region’s manufacturing sectors are on the path to... 4th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Data Response Singapore GDP (Q4 Advanced) Singapore’s economy looks to have ended 2015 strongly, but we shouldn’t get too carried away. The advanced estimate is not a reliable guide to final GDP figures and, even if that were not the case... 4th January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update A quiet end to the year Asian financial markets have taken the start of Fed tightening in their stride. Currencies, equities and government bond yields have all been fairly stable over the past month. 23rd December 2015 · 1 min read
