Asia Data Response Korea GDP (Q2, Provisional) Korean GDP shrank sharply in Q2 on the back of the largest drop in exports since 1963, but output probably bottomed out in the middle of the quarter. The recovery, which is already underway, is set to... 23rd July 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea Trade (1st – 20th July) Korean trade data for the first 20 days of July suggest that the recovery in exports has continued this month. But the initial rebound has still been weak and the recovery in external demand in the... 21st July 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Korea on the mend, consensus comparison Korea avoided the need for a full lockdown and the GDP figures due on Tuesday should show that economic activity held up relatively well last quarter as a result. We have pencilled in a contraction of... 17th July 2020 · 5 mins read
Asia Economics Update Bank of Korea stands pat, but more action still likely The Bank of Korea (BoK) left its policy rate on hold at 0.50% today and while it did not unveil any further unconventional policy measures, the Bank gave hints it could employ them in future. With... 16th July 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Economic Outlook A multi-speed recovery, with China leading the way Overview Economic activity is rebounding across the region, but the speed of the recovery varies significantly by country. Daily life in China, Vietnam and Taiwan has already returned largely to... 15th July 2020 · 35 mins read
Asia Data Response Singapore GDP (Q2, Advanced) Singapore’s economy contracted by the most on record in Q2, but with many restrictions to economic activity now lifted and strong government support, output is set to rebound over the second half of... 14th July 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea Trade (1st – 10th Jul.) Korean trade data for the first ten days of this month suggest that the recovery in external demand gained a little momentum at the start of July. This should carry on over the coming months, albeit... 13th July 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Recovery underway as Singapore heads to the polls The main priority for Singapore’s ruling People’s Action Party (PAP), which is certain to win tomorrow’s general election, is ensuring a strong recovery from the crisis. There are good reasons to... 9th July 2020 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Update Sri Lanka opts for 100bps cut, more easing likely The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) cut both its deposit and lending rates by 100bps to 4.50% and 5.50% respectively at its meeting today, and given the poor outlook for the economy, we think the... 9th July 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Auto slowdown in Thailand, Singapore bouncing back Despite having successfully contained the virus, which has allowed daily life in Thailand to return to normal quicker than in other parts of the region, the country is still set to be one of the worst... 3rd July 2020 · 7 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update What next for EM inflation? A rebound in fuel inflation will push up headline inflation in most EMs over the coming months, even as food and core price pressures moderate. Alongside the recovery in activity, this means that the... 2nd July 2020 · 3 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update PMIs: Manufacturing recovery underway The strong rise in the EM manufacturing PMI from 45.4 in May to 49.6 in June suggests that EM manufacturing is firmly on the road to recovery. We think that the rebound in activity will probably be... 1st July 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea Trade (Jun.) Korean export values nudged up very slightly in June, after collapsing in April and May, but while external demand is probably now past the worst, it is only likely to recover slowly in the coming... 1st July 2020 · 2 mins read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Jun.) The PMIs point to an improvement in manufacturing conditions last month, although many readings are still low and suggest that overall manufacturers continue to struggle. 1st July 2020 · 2 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update Will we see a turn to austerity in EMs? Governments in Brazil and South Africa have outlined plans for large multi-year fiscal squeezes from 2021, which will hold back their economic recoveries and are likely to be politically untenable... 30th June 2020 · 3 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Auto sector holding back Korea’s recovery A slump in Korea’s automotive sector, which accounts for around 10% of GDP, is weighing heavily on the country’s prospects. The latest industrial production data which were published today show that... 30th June 2020 · 13 mins read
