Capital Daily Depth of rate cuts matters more for markets than timing Although the Reserve Bank of Australia – which left policy on hold today – looks set to be the last developed market central bank to join the easing cycle now underway among developed economies, we... 18th June 2024 · 4 mins read
China Economics Focus What to expect at the Third Plenum The Third Plenum may conclude with a pledge of comprehensive reform in areas spanning the private sector, manufacturing, innovation, social security, economic management and more. That may excite hope... 18th June 2024 · 13 mins read
Japan Chart Pack Japan Chart Pack (Jun. 2024) Our Japan Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. While the economy has only narrowly avoided a recession, activity should rebound over coming... 18th June 2024 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBA will only cut rates next year The RBA discussed another rate hike at today’s meeting and an upside surprise to Q2 inflation could force its hand at its August meeting. However, with capacity constraints easing and government... 18th June 2024 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Focus Korea: growth to slow, inflation to fall, rates to be cut Korea’s economy rebounded strongly last quarter but there are already signs it is losing momentum, and we expect growth to struggle over the coming year. Export growth is likely to ease a little, but... 18th June 2024 · 10 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting (June 2024) 18th June 2024 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China Activity & Spending (May 2024) May’s activity data were a mixed bag with an uptick in retail sales and slowdown in industrial production partially reversing the recent trend of strength on the supply side and weaker demand. 17th June 2024 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response Bank Lending & Broad Credit (May) Bank loan growth in China was the slowest on record in May, but accelerated government bond issuance helped broader credit growth edge up. Fiscal loosening should support further gains in the near... 14th June 2024 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly Malaysia subsidy cuts, BoK minutes, Pakistan budget Headline inflation in Malaysia has been among the lowest in Asia but that is soon set to change now that the government is pushing ahead with long-planned subsidy cuts aimed at improving the public... 14th June 2024 · 6 mins read
China Economics Weekly Europe leaves the road open for China’s EV-makers China protested the European Commission’s imposition of additional tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles this week but, if the EU goes no further, China’s government is likely to see this as a... 14th June 2024 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly New government, same faces The minimal personnel changes in PM Modi’s new cabinet suggests the new government’s policy direction will be similar to before. Admittedly, concessions on spending may have to be made to appease the... 14th June 2024 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Update Bank will hike its policy rate once more in July The Bank of Japan disappointed markets today by announcing that it will only present a detailed plan for reducing its bond purchases at its July meeting. We think it will also deliver a final policy... 14th June 2024 · 3 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Higher bond yields won’t prompt massive repatriation While 10-year JGB yields have fallen well below 1% as the BoJ today delayed the announcement of tapering plans to its July meeting, they are still around a decade-high. The ability of Japanese... 14th June 2024 · 5 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly RBA will look past impact of energy rebates This week the Queensland government followed in the footsteps of the Western Australian government and the Commonwealth by announcing significantly more generous energy subsidies for households. With... 14th June 2024 · 5 mins read
Japan Rapid Response Bank of Japan Meeting (Jun. 24) The Bank of Japan announced today that it will present a detailed plan for reducing its bond purchases at the upcoming meeting in July and we think it will also deliver a final policy rate hike then... 14th June 2024 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Treasury yields may not push JGB ones down further Although falling Treasury yields may continue to exert some downward pressure on Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields, we don’t think that will drive them much lower by the end of the year. 13th June 2024 · 4 mins read
