China Economics Weekly Stimulus continues to underwhelm The recent flurry of policy announcements amounts to less than meets the eye. The rate cuts are too small to revive loan demand and the new commitments for direct credit support total just 0.8% of GDP... 26th August 2022 · 7 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Kishida eager to revive nuclear energy August’s Tokyo CPI showed a further jump in electricity prices. Against this backdrop, PM Kishida announced that he wants to restart more nuclear reactors and build new ones, but it remains unclear... 26th August 2022 · 8 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: tightening cycle to finish by end-year The Bank of Korea today raised its main policy rate by 25bp (to 2.5%) and signaled further hikes in the months ahead. However, with the central bank becoming more concerned about economic growth and... 25th August 2022 · 3 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Flash PMIs (Aug. 2022) August’s PMIs indicate a further slowdown in the manufacturing sector as demand slumped even further, while services continue to bear the brunt from the record Covid-19 wave. 23rd August 2022 · 2 mins read
China Activity Monitor CAP: Recovery loses steam at the start of H2 Our China Activity Proxy (CAP) suggests that the economic rebound following the hit from lockdowns had petered out in July. And despite increased policy support, growing headwinds will continue to... 22nd August 2022 · 3 mins read
China Economics Update PBOC extends lifeline to struggling economy Today’s reductions to both the one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPR) continue the PBOC’s efforts to support the faltering economy. We expect additional easing to follow in the coming months... 22nd August 2022 · 3 mins read
India Economics Weekly Inflation to fall back only gradually We now expect CPI inflation to fall back to the 6% ceiling of the RBI's target range by the end of the year as food and energy inflation drags the headline rate lower. But beyond that, we still expect... 19th August 2022 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly Energy crunch threatens to spread nationally Southwest China is currently experiencing power shortages due to a severe drought and heatwave. Officials in Sichuan province and Chongqing municipality have responded by ordering week-long halts to... 19th August 2022 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Short term productivity outlook is bleak Already sluggish productivity growth has slowed even further since the pandemic, a disappointing result since Japan’s level of productivity remains much lower than in any other G7 economy. Two key... 19th August 2022 · 4 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Consumer Prices (Jul. 2022) Headline inflation was the highest since 1991 in July and we think it still has higher to climb. But this will not make the Bank of Japan budge on its ultra-easy monetary policy. 19th August 2022 · 2 mins read
China Economics Update Struggling for momentum China’s post-Omicron rebound has fizzled out and the prospects for near-term growth are poor. Virus outbreaks are happening with increasing frequency. The housing market remains in a downward spiral... 18th August 2022 · 6 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan External Trade (Jul. 2022) Japan’s trade deficit widened to a record high in July but it should start to shrink over the coming months as supply shortages and commodity prices continue to ease. 17th August 2022 · 2 mins read
India Data Response Wholesale Prices (Jul.) The fall in Indian wholesale price inflation in July reflects easing wholesale food inflation and lower commodity prices. But given both WPI and CPI inflation are still elevated, we think the RBI will... 16th August 2022 · 3 mins read
