Asia Data Response Taiwan GDP (Q2, provisional) GDP in Taiwan contracted last quarter as a surge in COVID-19 cases weighed heavily on consumer-facing sectors and exports slowed. Although consumption should bounce back now that virus cases are... 29th July 2022 · 2 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Bank of Japan won’t widen tolerance band any further Long-term bond yields have dropped back in recent weeks which meant that the Bank of Japan had to work less hard to defend its 10-year yield target. Given that we no longer expect US 10-year Treasury... 29th July 2022 · 5 mins read
Japan Data Response Activity, Labour Market & Tokyo CPI (June 22) While industrial output bounced back strongly in June, the recovery in the labour market is stalling and consumer spending is faltering. One reason is that rising consumer prices are weighing on... 29th July 2022 · 4 mins read
China Economics Update Policymakers give up on 5.5% growth The readout of the Politburo’s quarterly meeting on economic affairs has just been published by state media. It reiterates the need for more policy support but stops short of any major new... 28th July 2022 · 3 mins read
RBI Watch Frontloaded tightening to continue We expect the MPC to continue frontloading policy tightening with another 50bp hike to the repo rate (to 5.40%) at the conclusion of its upcoming meeting on 5 th August. Beyond next week, we think the... 28th July 2022 · 7 mins read
China Economic Outlook Reopening rebound set to slow Activity has bounced back from lockdowns but China’s economic recovery will become more challenging from here on as exports turn from tailwind to headwind and the property downturn deepens. Policy... 28th July 2022 · 22 mins read
China Chart Pack Housing crisis flares up again The mortgage boycotts are a double threat to developers and to the housing market. They have drawn attention to the problem of cash-strapped developers being unable to complete properties that they... 27th July 2022 · 11 mins read
Japan Economics Update Consumption to remain tepid despite fiscal transfers Real disposable household incomes will continue to be propped up until mid-2023 by fiscal transfers intended to offset the impact of virus disruption and rising inflation. But spending will continue... 27th July 2022 · 3 mins read
Asia Chart Pack Growth to slow in the second half of the year GDP figures for Korea released earlier today showed economic growth accelerated in the second quarter thanks to a strong rebound in private consumption as the economy enjoyed a reopening bounce. This... 26th July 2022 · 14 mins read
Asia Data Response Korea GDP (Q2) Korean GDP growth picked up slightly in the first quarter, but this is likely to be as good as it gets for the economy. We expect growth to slow in the second half of 2022 as rising interest rates... 26th July 2022 · 2 mins read
Metals Data Response Global Steel Production (June) Global steel production growth slowed in June as higher power costs in advanced economies contributed to lower output there. By contrast, the decline in China’s output slowed slightly. Overall, we... 22nd July 2022 · 2 mins read
India Economics Weekly Remittances to take edge off current account concerns Data released this week showed that remittances flows into India dwarfed those to elsewhere in the world last year, helping India to maintain a small current account deficit and supporting the... 22nd July 2022 · 4 mins read
China Economics Weekly Property financing strains, migrant job losses Regulators have called on banks to step up lending to developers. But with banks becoming more cautious about issuing mortgages in the face of mortgage boycotts and local governments tightening... 22nd July 2022 · 4 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly New Covid wave, more balanced inflation outlook The government so far hasn’t responded to the surge in new virus cases to a record high with any restrictions, but the slowdown in mobility suggests that consumer spending will soften regardless... 22nd July 2022 · 6 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Flash PMIs (Jul. 2022) July’s PMIs suggest that the manufacturing sector is slowing as demand weakens, while the latest Covid-19 is starting to hit the services sector. 22nd July 2022 · 2 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Consumer Prices (June 2022) While inflation fell slightly in June, it will remain above the BoJ’s 2% target until early-2023, while underlying inflation will approach 2%. However, the Bank won’t respond with tighter policy. 22nd July 2022 · 2 mins read
