India Economics Weekly Is the Adani crisis a macro concern? The short-seller attack on the Adani Group has continued to dominate the headlines this week. From the macro perspective there are few signs of contagion, with equities up slightly on the week in... 3rd February 2023 · 5 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Electricity rate hike to dilute government subsidies Seven of Japan's ten regional utility companies have applied to the government to raise electricity prices for households. If approved, headline inflation would still drop below the Bank of Japan’s 2%... 3rd February 2023 · 5 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update China’s re-opening and EMs: three key questions We’ve received a lot of questions recently about the impact of China’s re-opening on EMs, including at our monthly Drop-in today. This Update answers three key questions on the winners and losers, the... 2nd February 2023 · 4 mins read
Asset Allocation Update Assessing the winners and losers since China’s rebound Our view that the stock market in China will continue to recover in the coming months even as its counterpart in the US falters ahead of a mild recession there raises the question of how equities... 2nd February 2023 · 6 mins read
Emerging Markets Economics Update EM banks well placed to face rising loan losses EM banks will face an increase in loan losses this year, but the good news is that banking sectors on the whole appear well-placed to absorb these, particularly in parts of Latin America, Emerging... 2nd February 2023 · 4 mins read
RBI Watch MPC to signal the end of tightening cycle With inflation now having clearly passed the peak and domestic demand showing signs of softening, we think the MPC will mark the end of the tightening cycle with a final 25bp hike to the repo rate (to... 2nd February 2023 · 6 mins read
China Data Response Hong Kong GDP (Q4 Preliminary) Hong Kong’s GDP was unchanged in q/q terms last quarter. This was largely due to a further decline in exports but the worst may be over on that front given that global growth is probably close to a... 1st February 2023 · 3 mins read
India Economics Update Finance Ministry strikes a delicate balance Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman appears to have successfully demonstrated her long-term commitment of reining in the fiscal deficit while still providing support to the economy in today’s FY23/24... 1st February 2023 · 3 mins read
India Data Response Manufacturing PMI (Jan.) India’s manufacturing PMI showed signs of moderation in January after defying gravity for several months previously. It should drop further over the coming months as the economy comes off the boil. 1st February 2023 · 2 mins read
Asia Data Response Manufacturing PMIs & Korea Trade (Jan.) Manufacturing PMIs edged up slightly in January but remained subdued overall. We continue to expect weak global demand and elevated interest rates to drag on manufacturing activity in the coming... 1st February 2023 · 2 mins read
China Data Response Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Jan.) The Caixin manufacturing PMI published today edged up slightly in January as disruption from the reopening wave eased but it remained at a subdued level. Taken together with the official survey... 1st February 2023 · 3 mins read
Capital Daily China’s stock market rally may have further to go Although China’s equities have now rallied a long way, we think they will make some further gains over the rest of this year. 31st January 2023 · 7 mins read
Climate Economics Focus The curious case of China’s climate credentials There is a touch of the Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde about China’s climate credentials, with its well-documented record of burgeoning emissions and reliance on coal standing in stark contrast to its... 31st January 2023 · 16 mins read
China Data Response Official PMIs (Jan.) The official PMIs add to evidence of a rapid rebound in economic activity this month as disruption from the reopening wave faded. More shoppers returned to the street boosting services activity while... 31st January 2023 · 3 mins read
