Japan Data Response Japan Machinery Orders (Feb. 2023) The fall in “core” machinery orders in February is another bearish signal on business investment last quarter. Domestic machine tool orders suggest a further fall in March, but even if “core”... 12th April 2023 · 2 mins read
Capital Daily Ueda-driven drop in the yen unlikely to last Amid a holiday-affected few days in financial markets, one move that stands out is the fall of the yen. But we doubt its weakness will last much longer. 11th April 2023 · 7 mins read
China Rapid Response Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Mar.) Bank loan growth jumped to a 17-month high in March. And broad credit growth rose to its highest since December. Both were stronger than most anticipated. We expect broad credit growth to accelerate a... 11th April 2023 · 3 mins read
Asia Economics Update Korea: cuts coming sooner than consensus expects The Bank of Korea left interest rates unchanged (at 3.5%) for a second consecutive meeting today, and attempted to push back against expectations of a rate cut this year. But with the economy... 11th April 2023 · 3 mins read
China Data Response Consumer & Producer Prices (Mar.) Producer price deflation deepened further last month to a 33-month low, and consumer price inflation dropped below 1% for the first time in over a year. The key driver was lower food and fuel... 11th April 2023 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Focus Housing rebound doesn’t look sustainable House prices rebounded in March but we aren’t convinced that this marks the beginning of a sustained rebound. Affordability is set to become the most stretched since the early 90s and if the... 11th April 2023 · 14 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Economy Watchers Survey (Mar. 2023) Both the current and outlook readings in March hit their highest in more than a year, capping off a strong first quarter for the EWS. This is another sign that private consumption remained resilient... 10th April 2023 · 2 mins read
India Economics Weekly New FTP will fall short of lofty ambitions The government's new Foreign Trade Policy is underpinned by ambitions to boost exports to US$2trn by FY29/30 and increase the use of the rupee settlement mechanism, both of which are tough tasks... 6th April 2023 · 6 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly MAS decision on a knife edge, Thai inflation falling The Monetary Authority of Singapore is likely to leave its policy settings on hold at its scheduled meeting next week, with concerns about the growth outlook set to outweigh lingering worries on... 6th April 2023 · 6 mins read
China Economics Weekly Infrastructure supporting services-led recovery The shape of China’s post-zero-COVID rebound has become clearer over the past week: primarily services-driven, as expected, but with stronger construction activity too, which appears to be mostly... 6th April 2023 · 8 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly RBA muddies the waters with pause The RBA's decision to leave rates on hold earlier this week doesn't signal the end of its hiking cycle, contrary to what markets expect. Given ongoing concerns about the stickiness of inflation, we... 6th April 2023 · 5 mins read
India Economics Update RBI unlikely to tighten policy any further The RBI’s decision to keep the repo rate on hold at 6.50% today belied the central bank’s recent hawkish communications. The door remains ajar for hikes in the future but with headline inflation set... 6th April 2023 · 3 mins read
