Asia Data Response Thailand GDP (Q1) GDP figures released earlier today show the economy bounced back strongly in the first quarter of the year. Provided political stability is maintained, the economy is well placed to grow strongly in... 15th May 2023 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Chart Pack Housing downturn not over yet Australia’s house prices have rebounded over the last couple of months and most leading indicators suggest that the recovery has legs. However, we doubt that a sustained recovery is on the cards... 15th May 2023 · 11 mins read
China Economics Weekly Making sense of the reopening recovery After a string of underwhelming but inconclusive data releases, we should have a better sense of the strength of China’s post-zero-COVID rebound next week with the release of the April activity and... 12th May 2023 · 6 mins read
India Data Response Consumer Prices (Apr.) & Industrial Production (Mar.) The sharp drop in headline consumer price inflation in April, to an 18-month low, supports our view that the central bank’s tightening cycle has come to an end. 12th May 2023 · 2 mins read
Asia Economics Weekly BSP meeting on a knife edge, Thailand election The BSP’s meeting on Thursday is likely to be a close call, but with inflation in the Philippines firmly on the way down and the economy slowing, we think the central bank will finally hit the pause... 12th May 2023 · 6 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly New Zealand to maintain budget discipline We’re inclined to take Prime Minister Hipkins at his word that the New Zealand government will hand down a fiscally responsible budget next week. We expect government priorities, including cost-of... 12th May 2023 · 6 mins read
India Economics Weekly Why the Karnataka election matters for investors The state election in Karnataka was held this week, with results due on Saturday. The state has been on the forefront of the labour reform agenda. But a loss for the incumbent BJP as suggested by exit... 12th May 2023 · 7 mins read
Japan Economics Weekly Next year’s Shunto will disappoint the BoJ Ueda’s speech in the Diet on Tuesday left open the possibility of the Bank adjusting monetary policy before the policy review announced at the April meeting is completed next year. However, given that... 12th May 2023 · 7 mins read
Asia Data Response Malaysia GDP (Q1) The economy expanded in Q1 but failed to completely offset the decline from the previous quarter. Growth is likely to remain weak over the coming quarters as elevated interest rates and weak external... 12th May 2023 · 2 mins read
China Rapid Response China Bank Lending & Broad Credit (Apr.) A widely-anticipated acceleration in credit growth didn’t materialise last month, suggesting that momentum may already be fading in China’s post-zero-COVID rebound. 11th May 2023 · 2 mins read
Japan Chart Pack Bank of Japan kicking the can down the road Governor Ueda presided over his first policy meeting late last month and opted to keep all monetary policy settings, including Yield Curve Control (YCC), completely unchanged. To be sure, Mr Ueda also... 11th May 2023 · 11 mins read
Japan Data Response Japan Economy Watchers Survey (Apr. 2023) The further rise in both the current and outlook readings point to continued upward momentum in services spending this quarter. Meanwhile, manufacturing conditions fell slightly but remained robust... 11th May 2023 · 2 mins read
Asia Data Response Philippines GDP (Q1) Growth slowed in Q1 and we expect the economy to weaken further over the coming quarters against a backdrop of weak global demand and high interest rates. 11th May 2023 · 3 mins read