Energy Update Falling stocks to support oil prices, even if the dollar rises again A weaker US dollar has given some support to oil prices over the last month. However, the inverse relationship is likely to break down again over the next year as rising US interest rates support the... 10th August 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report The ninth consecutive weekly fall in US commercial crude stocks provides further evidence that the market is rebalancing. We expect this trend to continue over the next few months at least, which... 9th August 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Oil prices lead the way up It was generally good news for energy commodities in July. Oil prices jumped as stocks in the US slumped, the market grew concerned about the possibility of sanctions on Venezuela and the dollar fell... 3rd August 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Another increase in refinery runs led to a fall in crude oil stocks last week. We expect refinery runs to remain high in the coming weeks. This should lead to a sharp drawdown in inventories and help... 2nd August 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack A weaker US dollar boosts commodities The prices of most commodities rose last month. In part, this was due to a weaker dollar. But stronger economic activity data for China also played a role. We think that growth in China is likely to... 1st August 2017 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Nigeria: OPEC ‘cap’ will have little economic effect Nigeria’s agreement with OPEC to cap oil production is unlikely to have much impact on the economy; output was never likely to rise significantly above this level in any case. The key point is that... 28th July 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report The fourth consecutive weekly drop in commercial crude stocks in the US provides further evidence that OPEC’s output cuts are starting to have an impact on inventory levels. We expect this trend to... 26th July 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly The weaker dollar bolsters commodities This week started on a positive note for industrial commodities with strong June activity and investment data out of China. A weaker US dollar was also supporting commodity prices, more generally... 21st July 2017 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Chart Pack Worst fears over Qatar crisis fade Diplomatic efforts have failed to bring an end to the stand-off between Qatar and the so-called Anti-Terror Quartet (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt and Bahrain). Encouragingly, though, there are signs that... 21st July 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Update Four key risks facing the oil market The oil market’s attention is firmly on rising production in the US and the outlook for stocks there. However, there are a number of risks elsewhere which are potentially being overlooked and which... 20th July 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Commodities back in favour Investors have turned more positive on the outlook for commodity prices in the last month, reflected in a general rise in net-long futures positions. Sentiment has improved on the back of strong... 19th July 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Another large drop in crude stocks provides further evidence that the market is slowly starting to rebalance. Gasoline stocks also fell as output from refineries dropped back. 19th July 2017 · 1 min read
India Economics Update Bond market takes RBI intervention in its stride The bond market has taken the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) surprise announcement of increased open market sales of government securities in its stride, with yields on local-currency debt remaining... 19th July 2017 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly All good, for now … The prices of most commodities, with the exception of agriculturals, rose this week. Data showing strong Chinese import demand gave a boost to the prices of industrials, while a further drop in US... 14th July 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Watch Will US gasoline demand recover from its weak start? US gasoline prices have been volatile so far this year but have generally followed oil prices lower. This Energy Watch examines the prospects for US gasoline demand over the rest of this year and into... 14th July 2017 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Crude oil stocks plunged last week by the largest amount so far this year. Another rise in refinery runs, in tandem with a decline in net imports, contributed to stocks falling below 500 million... 13th July 2017 · 1 min read
