Commodities Weekly Supply prospects take centre stage Supply-side developments were the key driver of most commodity markets this week, but they are pushing prices in opposing directions. In the oil market, supply concerns sent Brent crude to a 46-month... 1st October 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Inventories of crude oil rose as demand from refineries weakened and US production ticked up. Gasoline stocks also rose, despite lower refinery runs, underpinning our assessment that growth in US... 26th September 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Commodities join in “relief” rally The prices of most commodities rose this week as part of a more general rebound in financial markets. Although both the US and China announced another round of tariffs, there was some relief that the... 21st September 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Update Oil demand growth to soften Growth in global oil demand looks set to ease in 2019, driven by the expected economic slowdowns in China and the US, along with subdued consumption in Europe. High oil prices and mounting... 21st September 2018 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Lebanon fears escalate, Saudi happy with $80pb oil The sharp widening in Lebanese dollar bond spreads this week suggests that investors are increasingly fearful that the country is lurching towards an economic crisis and, in the event of a fresh... 20th September 2018 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Oil prices likely to fall and drag down inflation We have revised up our forecast for the price of Brent crude, but still expect it to fall in the coming year or so, helping to reduce headline inflation. However, we don’t expect this to have much... 19th September 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Inventories of crude oil declined for the fifth consecutive week as net imports fell and refinery runs remained high for the time of the year. That said, refinery runs have started to ease back, which... 19th September 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Convergence on the cards At first glance, there might appear to be some tension between our forecast that oil prices will fall in 2019, while industrial metals prices will end the year a little higher. In fact, it is more a... 19th September 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Update We still expect the oil price to fall We think that the worst fears over supply will not be realised and that slower growth in global demand will prompt a significant fall in the oil price in 2019. However, logistical constraints on US... 13th September 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report There was a hefty decline in inventories of crude oil last week, which was in part driven by higher refinery runs. However, stocks of gasoline and distillates both rose, as demand faltered. The latest... 12th September 2018 · 1 min read
OPEC Watch OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (August) The latest data show that Saudi Arabia still has sufficient spare capacity to increase production if it needed to offset falls in output in Iran and Venezuela. Slower growth in demand and higher... 12th September 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Inventories of crude oil fell again last week, despite a rise in net imports. Meanwhile, US production, excluding Alaska, ticked up. We still expect slowing consumption growth and rising production in... 6th September 2018 · 1 min read
UK Economics Focus Higher oil and food prices won’t prevent inflation falling The rises in energy and agricultural commodity prices and sterling’s recent fall will put some upward pressure on inflation, but we doubt that these factors will prevent it from easing from 2.5% now... 4th September 2018 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Iran concerns boost oil prices August was a good month for energy commodity prices. Oil prices jumped as investors focused on the prospect of lower supply from Iran while the price of US natural gas ticked up as stocks remained... 4th September 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Oil bucks the negative trend Most commodity prices fell in August on the back of ongoing global trade tensions and worries over an economic slowdown in China. 3rd September 2018 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Supply concerns boost oil prices It was another good week for the price of oil as concerns about lower Iranian output as a result of US sanctions continued to lift prices. In contrast, a ratcheting up of the US rhetoric on... 31st August 2018 · 1 min read
