Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks fell for the first time in nine weeks last week, while implied product demand dropped. We think oil demand will remain soft as higher interest rates drag on economic growth. 8th March 2023 · 2 mins read
Energy Update JODI Energy Demand Monitor (Nov. & Dec.) JODI data on global oil and natural gas consumption show that global energy demand was weak in late 2022. China’s rapid reopening will likely boost demand for both. But plenty of downside risk remains... 8th March 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update Unpacking China’s NPC for commodities The National People’s Congress reports struck a cautious note on the outlook for economic activity in China this year. Fiscal stimulus will be limited and efforts to prevent “disorderly” expansion in... 8th March 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Update Futures Market Monitor (Mar. 2023) Most commodity prices fell and futures curves shifted lower this past month as higher interest rate expectations in advanced economies clouded the demand outlook. This is consistent with the downside... 7th March 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly Commodity markets look to the US and China It was another fairly quiet week in commodity markets, with prices caught between diverging narratives. Rather perversely, robust economic data in advanced economies weighed on commodity prices. This... 3rd March 2023 · 6 mins read
Commodities Chart Pack Mounting downside risks to our price forecasts We think prices will drop a little further in the coming months as economic slowdowns in advanced economies weigh on commodities demand, even as China’s economic recovery takes hold. However, the... 2nd March 2023 · 13 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report There was another strong rise in commercial crude stocks last week. With little prospect of any upturn in domestic demand anytime soon, commercial stocks should continue to rebound in the coming... 23rd February 2023 · 3 mins read
Energy Update We are sceptical of Nigeria’s oil production promises We don’t think that the election in Nigeria on Saturday will lead to a sudden improvement in crude oil production. The oil industry’s challenges in the country are too deep-seated. But the long... 22nd February 2023 · 3 mins read
Commodities Weekly US inflation a downside risk to our price forecasts Most commodity prices fell this week due to concerns about the persistence of high inflation in the US. Data showed US CPI inflation coming in slightly stronger than expected in January, pushing up... 17th February 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Update Further cuts to Russian oil production still on the table Russia’s crude oil production has, up until now, been remarkably resilient in the face of Western sanctions. But the recent announcement of a voluntary cut seems to be the first concrete sign that... 17th February 2023 · 2 mins read
Climate Economics Update Upward pressure on renewables costs to be transitory A combination of higher interest rates and rising raw material prices have interrupted the long-term declines in the costs of renewables and battery power, and could push costs up further in the near... 16th February 2023 · 3 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose to their highest since June 2021 last week due to lower refinery activity. With crude demand likely to remain sluggish over the coming months, and the US government set to... 15th February 2023 · 3 mins read
OPEC Watch OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (Feb.) OPEC’s monthly report for February did not make any major revisions to its forecasts. That said, the group is clearly worried about both the outlook for global demand and supply from Russia. We think... 14th February 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly All eyes on US data next week It was a fairly quiet week in commodities markets, although oil prices rose on concerns about earthquake-related disruption to exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan and Russia’s announcement of a 0... 10th February 2023 · 6 mins read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report Commercial crude stocks rose again this week, despite a rise in inputs to refineries. That said, refinery activity is unlikely to pick up markedly in the coming weeks given ongoing maintenance and... 8th February 2023 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus CEE’s energy crisis: looking beyond this winter The energy crisis in Central and Eastern Europe has lost some of its bite as natural gas prices have slumped and countries have made good progress in replacing Russian energy supplies. This has... 6th February 2023 · 25 mins read
