China Economics Update Why is China’s commodities demand so strong? China’s recent commodity demand has been stronger than might have been expected given the weakness of its economy and commodity-intensive property sector in particular. This partly reflects a step-up... 12th October 2023 · 5 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update First thoughts on the Israel-Gaza conflict The attack by Hamas on Israel on Saturday has led to widespread casualties and deaths, and the declaration of war by Israel’s prime minister. From an economic perspective, the experience from the 2014... 9th October 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly Few commodities spared from this week's sell-off It has been a week of declines for most commodity prices, as commodities were caught up in the more widespread selling of financial assets. Crude oil prices were among the hardest hit, whereas... 6th October 2023 · 4 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Egypt election and UAE swap line, OPEC+, Saudi labour Egypt’s upcoming election in December has led to policy paralysis, particularly around the exchange rate. The currency swap line opened with the UAE this week appears aimed at bolstering resources to... 5th October 2023 · 8 mins read
Energy Update Exports will boost US natural gas prices in 2024 Strong production growth has helped to pull US natural gas prices below 2019 levels for most of this year. But prices should rise by the end of 2024 as production growth is set to ease and exports... 2nd October 2023 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update China’s latest PMIs are positive for commodities The latest above-50 readings in China’s PMIs are consistent with our view that China’s demand for commodities will remain solid in the second half of this year, but not grow strongly. 2nd October 2023 · 2 mins read
Africa Chart Pack Africa Chart Pack (Sep. 2023) Our Africa Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. Economic growth across Sub-Saharan Africa is likely to pick up over the coming quarters, but a... 29th September 2023 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Oil also higher for longer There wasn’t a clear trend in commodity prices this week. Natural gas prices in the US and Europe were among the largest risers, though those increases appear to have been driven by dips in regional... 29th September 2023 · 4 mins read
Africa Economic Outlook Balance sheet problems to weigh on recoveries Economic growth across Sub-Saharan Africa is likely to pick up over the coming quarters, but a challenging external environment means that balance of payments positions will remain under strain and... 27th September 2023 · 20 mins read
Commodities Outlook Looser monetary policy to support prices in 2024 We expect most commodity prices to struggle over the rest of this year as developed economies flirt with recession, the US dollar remains strong and investor risk appetite moderates. That said, we... 26th September 2023 · 28 mins read
Commodities Weekly Russia fuel export ban will temporarily lift crude prices Most commodity prices fell this week as the Federal Reserve left the door open to another interest rate hike before the end of the year, and indicated that rates will remain higher for longer. Russia... 22nd September 2023 · 4 mins read
Commodities Weekly Commodity prices fire up across the board The mood was upbeat in commodity markets this week, with prices rising across all sectors. Oil stood out, with the price in the US cracking $90 per barrel for the first time this year. Higher oil... 15th September 2023 · 5 mins read
Event Drop-In: Oil prices and the threat to the global inflation outlook 1695128400 The recent surge in oil prices is fuelling concerns about an inflationary resurgence that could upset central bank monetary policy plans. But how worried should investors be?
Commodities Chart Pack Commodities Overview Chart Pack (Sep. 2023) Prices will remain buffeted by weak global economic growth and a strong dollar, at a time of mounting supply risks and some policy stimulus in China. These conflicting pressures suggest that prices... 8th September 2023 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Yawning deficit in the oil market to prop up prices It was a mixed week for commodity prices as they faced conflicting pressures in the form of the appreciation of the US dollar, mounting supply risks and signs of some resilience in China’s demand... 8th September 2023 · 5 mins read
