Energy Update Could Russia join OPEC in supporting oil prices? The jump in oil prices today (to a high of $35) on speculation that Saudi Arabia and Russia could soon agree to cut output is at least consistent with our forecasts of a rebound by year-end... 28th January 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude oil stocks rose to a record level last week, driven by another drop in refinery inputs. What’s more, despite lower refinery production, there was another large jump in gasoline stocks... 27th January 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economics Focus Are lower oil prices good or bad for the world economy? This Focus addresses two of the biggest concerns which have undermined confidence in the global economy and markets this year: worries over China and the further slump in the oil price. While... 27th January 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Oil drags ruble down, politics weighs on zloty The fresh leg down in oil prices has caused the ruble to tumble, making it one of the worst-performing EM currencies so far this year. Elsewhere, mounting concerns about populist policymaking in... 27th January 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Focus Oil prices – how low can they go? There are a number of risks which could cause oil prices to slump to as low as $20 per barrel in the first half of this year. However, our central forecast is that the prices of Brent and WTI will... 26th January 2016 · 1 min read
EM Markets Chart Pack EM assets suffer most from market turmoil The recent volatility in global financial markets has had a disproportionate impact on emerging market (EM) assets. Equities have underperformed those in the developed world, dollar-denominated bond... 25th January 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update A shaky start for US LNG The sharp drop in crude oil prices has led to markedly lower Asian liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices and poses a risk to the economic rationale of US LNG exports. That said, the flexibility of US... 25th January 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Oil prices jump on Saudi comments and US blizzard After another poor start, the prices of industrial commodities ended the week on the up. The main positives were hints of additional monetary policy support from the ECB and the absence of any more... 22nd January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Can we believe the ECB this time? We said after December’s “Draghi disappointment” that we would take future verbal policy steers from the ECB with a healthy pinch of salt. But there are some good reasons to expect the President and... 22nd January 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack No New Year cheer for energy commodities Negative sentiment towards commodities in general, high stocks, a warm start to winter in the US and renewed fears about the Chinese economy have all contributed to the downward pressure on the prices... 22nd January 2016 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Weekly Asia well-placed to ride out financial market storms Global markets have had a rocky start to the year with equities, emerging market currencies and oil bearing the brunt of the declines. The stock market falls are unlikely to have much of an impact on... 22nd January 2016 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Weekly Limited boost to corporate profits from cheaper oil Corporate profits have not risen much in response to lower prices of energy and other raw materials, as the gains have been highly concentrated in a few sectors. Looking ahead, the recent appreciation... 22nd January 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report US crude oil stocks rose last week, driven by a drop in refinery inputs. What’s more, despite lower refinery production, there was another large jump in gasoline stocks. However, demand for oil... 21st January 2016 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Japanese equities ripe for a rebound In the light of the recent turmoil we are revising our forecasts for Japan’s currency and equity prices. Nonetheless, we continue to expect a combination of better news from China, a partial recovery... 21st January 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will falling oil and equity prices undermine European property? Fears about China, as well as plunging oil and equity prices, have dominated the start of 2016. However, we believe that concerns over China are overstated and that oil prices will begin to recover... 21st January 2016 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Would the Gulf benefit from currency devaluation? The latest drop in oil prices has intensified speculation that the Gulf economies might abandon their dollar pegs but there remain good reasons to think that this would achieve little in terms of... 21st January 2016 · 1 min read
